The Guardian Box Office Comparisons

Box Office For Sunday, May. 12: (1) Iron Man 3 $20.8M (2) The Great Gatsby $13M (3) Peeples $1.7M

BOX OFFICE

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Most Requested Titles

Olympus Has Fallen
Iron Man 3
42
The Croods
Oblivion
The Great Gatsby
Identity Thief

Most Requested Trailers

Most Requested Profiles

Shirley MacLaine
Stephen Dorff
Billy Zane
Lance Crouther
Channing Tatum
Marcus Raboy
Daniel Gordon

The Guardian Opening Comparisons

Lee's Prediction: $22.382 million (3-day) 3241 theaters (marked as

).
The Guardian weekend gross: $18.006 million (marked as

Also opening on Sep 29, 2006: Open Season School for Scoundrels

$15.011

$18.736$22.088

$25.106$41.325

$13.339

Director and Actor Comparisons (3-day opening weekend, in million $)

Andrew Davis (dir) Holes ($16.382), Collateral Damage ($15.055), A Perfect Murder ($16.632)
Ashton Kutcher: New Year's Eve ($13.019), No Strings Attached ($19.653), Killers ($15.837)
Kevin Costner: Swing Vote ($6.231), Mr. Brooks ($10.017), Rumor Has It ($10.078)

Title	Release	First Weekend	Theaters	Adjusted*	Adj. Avg.**

The Guardian	2006 Sep 29	$18,006,064	3241	$18,006,064	$5,556
Land of the Lost	2009 Jun 5	$18,837,350	3521	$16,451,286	$4,672
Hidalgo	2004 Mar 5	$18,829,000	3063	$19,827,966	$6,473
Flushed Away	2006 Nov 3	$18,816,732	3707	$18,816,732	$5,076
Red Tails	2012 Jan 20	$18,782,200	2512
Behind Enemy Lines	2001 Nov 30	$18,736,133	2770	$21,720,650	$7,841
World Trade Center	2006 Aug 9	$18,730,762	2957	$18,730,762	$6,334
Maid in Manhattan	2002 Dec 13	$18,711,407	2838	$21,130,985	$7,446
American Pie	1999 Jul 9	$18,709,680	2508	$24,219,052	$9,657
Scream 4	2011 Apr 15	$18,692,100	3305	$15,285,051	$4,625
Time Traveler's Wife	2009 Aug 14	$18,623,171	2988	$16,264,236	$5,443
Friends with Benefits	2011 Jul 22	$18,622,200	2926	$15,227,891	$5,204
Epic Movie	2007 Jan 26	$18,612,544	2801	$17,719,791	$6,326
Crimson Tide	1995 May 12	$18,612,190	2382	$28,025,252	$11,765
Are We There Yet	2005 Jan 21	$18,575,000	2709	$18,980,694	$7,007
Speed Racer	2008 May 9	$18,561,337	3606	$16,932,696	$4,696
The Rundown	2003 Sep 26	$18,534,000	3152	$20,132,289	$6,387
Fred Claus	2007 Nov 9	$18,515,473	3603	$17,627,376	$4,892
Star Trek: Nemesis	2002 Dec 13	$18,513,305	2711	$20,907,267	$7,712
Texas Chainsaw...2	2006 Oct 6	$18,507,660	2820	$18,507,660	$6,563
Meet the Spartans	2008 Jan 25	$18,505,530	2605	$16,881,786	$6,481
Patriot Games	1992 Jun 5	$18,500,000	2365	$29,198,795	$12,346
Exit Wounds	2001 Mar 14	$18,485,586	2830	$21,430,193	$7,573
Dante's Peak	1997 Feb 7	$18,479,435	2657	$26,370,436	$9,925
Mr. Popper's Penguins	2011 Jun 17	$18,445,355	3339	$15,083,280	$4,517
You've Got Mail	1998 Dec 18	$18,426,749	2691	$25,734,585	$9,563
Indecent Proposal	1993 Apr 7	$18,388,370	1694	$29,092,711	$17,174
Analyze This	1999 Mar 5	$18,383,507	2518	$23,796,832	$9,451
Cinderella Man	2005 Jun 3	$18,320,000	2812	$18,720,125	$6,657
Saw	2004 Oct 29	$18,276,000	2315	$19,245,627	$8,313
The Birdcage	1996 Mar 8	$18,275,828	1950	$27,082,958	$13,889

* adjusted for ticket prices (calculated in 2006 dollars) ** adjusted per theater gross ("crowdedness")

Other Box Office Open Comparisons
Monsters University World War Z This Is the End The Hangover Part III Fast & Furious 6 Star Trek Into Darkness The Great Gatsby Iron Man 3 The Big Wedding Pain & Gain Oblivion Scary Movie 5 42 Evil Dead (2013) Tyler Perry's Temptation G.I. Joe 2: Retaliation Olympus Has Fallen Admission The Expendables 2 The Bourne Legacy

About Box Office Comparisons
The box office line represents the potential extremes for 's opening weekend gross. The red notch is Lee's prediction. The red range around Lee's prediction represents the median average percent off of 500+ opening weekend predictions using abs(prediction - actual) / prediction. The actual opening weekend gross fell within the range 50% of the time. (1 pixel = approximately $55,971)

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