The Covenant Box Office Comparisons

Box Office For Monday, May. 20: (1) Star Trek Into Darkness $8M (2) Iron Man 3 $3.2M (3) The Great Gatsby $2.7M

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Star Trek Into Darkness
42
Iron Man 3
Olympus Has Fallen
Oblivion
The Croods
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The Covenant Opening Comparisons

Lee's Prediction: $12.145 million (3-day) 2681 theaters (marked as

).
The Covenant weekend gross: $8.852 million (marked as

Also opening on Sep 08, 2006: Hollywoodland The Protector

$3.020

$6.711$9.633

$11.409$19.021

$1.911

Director and Actor Comparisons (3-day opening weekend, in million $)

Renny Harlin (dir) 12 Rounds ($5.329), Mindhunters ($1.911), Driven ($12.067)
Toby Hemingway:
Steven Strait: City Island ($0.609), 10,000 BC ($35.867), Undiscovered ($0.676)

Title	Release	First Weekend	Theaters	Adjusted*	Adj. Avg.**

The Covenant	2006 Sep 8	$8,852,458	2681	$8,852,458	$3,302
Entrapment	1999 Apr 30	$20,145,595	2815	$26,077,796	$9,264
Runaway Jury	2003 Oct 17	$11,836,705	2815	$12,857,449	$4,567
Rumor Has It	2005 Dec 25	$10,077,700	2815	$10,297,806	$3,658
Les Misérables	2012 Dec 25	$27,282,000	2814
Lord of War	2005 Sep 16	$9,390,000	2814	$9,595,086	$3,410
Sphere	1998 Feb 13	$16,596,972	2814	$23,179,140	$8,237
Inspector Gadget	1999 Jul 23	$21,524,286	2814	$27,862,465	$9,901
What Lies Beneath	2000 Jul 21	$29,705,280	2813	$36,098,253	$12,833
Peter Pan (2003)	2003 Dec 25	$11,139,000	2813	$12,099,577	$4,301
Cinderella Man	2005 Jun 3	$18,320,000	2812	$18,720,125	$6,657
The Comebacks	2007 Oct 19	$5,554,594	2812	$5,288,167	$1,881
The Ruins	2008 Apr 4	$8,003,421	2812	$7,301,171	$2,596
Star Trek: First Contact	1996 Nov 22	$30,715,476	2812	$45,517,278	$16,187
Journey to Center...3D	2008 Jul 11	$21,018,141	2811	$19,173,931	$6,821
Cabin in the Woods	2012 Apr 13	$14,744,000	2811
The Terminal	2004 Jun 18	$19,053,199	2811	$20,064,060	$7,138
Devil	2010 Sep 17	$12,584,000	2809	$10,446,793	$3,719
The Express	2008 Oct 10	$4,562,675	2808	$4,162,329	$1,482
The Haunting	1999 Jul 23	$33,435,140	2808	$43,280,665	$15,413
Jungle Book 2	2003 Feb 14	$11,442,000	2808	$12,428,706	$4,426
In Her Shoes	2005 Oct 7	$10,017,575	2808	$10,236,368	$3,645
Saw VII	2010 Oct 29	$24,230,100	2808	$20,114,975	$7,163
Tomorrow Never Dies	1997 Dec 19	$25,143,007	2807	$35,879,454	$12,782
Shooter	2007 Mar 23	$14,523,571	2806	$13,826,946	$4,928
Conspiracy Theory	1997 Aug 8	$19,313,566	2806	$27,560,753	$9,822
Space Cowboys	2000 Aug 4	$18,093,776	2805	$21,987,798	$7,839
Cursed	2005 Feb 25	$9,633,000	2805	$9,843,393	$3,509
Exorcist: Beginning	2004 Aug 20	$18,054,000	2803	$19,011,849	$6,783
State of Play	2009 Apr 17	$14,071,280	2803	$12,288,918	$4,384
Paul	2011 Mar 18	$13,043,310	2802	$10,665,878	$3,807

* adjusted for ticket prices (calculated in 2006 dollars) ** adjusted per theater gross ("crowdedness")

Other Box Office Open Comparisons
Monsters University World War Z This Is the End The Hangover Part III Fast & Furious 6 Star Trek Into Darkness The Great Gatsby Iron Man 3 The Big Wedding Pain & Gain Oblivion 42 Scary Movie 5 Evil Dead (2013) Tyler Perry's Temptation G.I. Joe 2: Retaliation Olympus Has Fallen Admission The Expendables 2 The Campaign

About Box Office Comparisons
The box office line represents the potential extremes for 's opening weekend gross. The red notch is Lee's prediction. The red range around Lee's prediction represents the median average percent off of 500+ opening weekend predictions using abs(prediction - actual) / prediction. The actual opening weekend gross fell within the range 50% of the time. (1 pixel = approximately $34,220)

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