Paul Blart: Mall Cop Box Office Comparisons

Box Office For Monday, May. 20: (1) Star Trek Into Darkness $8M (2) Iron Man 3 $3.2M (3) The Great Gatsby $2.7M

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42
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Paul Blart: Mall Cop Opening Comparisons

Lee's Prediction: $14.305 million (3-day) 3144 theaters (marked as

).
Paul Blart: Mall Cop weekend estimate: $33.800 million (marked as

Also opening on Jan 16, 2009: My Bloody Valentine

$6.019

$7.874$14.370

$30.553$34.234

$4.244

Director and Actor Comparisons (3-day opening weekend, in million $)

Steve Carr (dir) Are We Done Yet? ($14.263), Rebound ($5.034), Daddy Day Care ($27.624)
Kevin James: Here Comes the Boom ($11.817), Hotel Transylvania ($42.522), Zookeeper ($21.000)
Jayma Mays: Epic Movie ($18.613)

Title	Release	First Weekend	Theaters	Adjusted*	Adj. Avg.**

Paul Blart: Mall Cop	2009 Jan 16	$33,800,000	3144	$33,800,000	$10,751
Contagion	2011 Sep 9	$22,403,600	3222	$20,977,154	$6,511
Tomb Raider 2	2003 Jul 25	$21,784,000	3222	$27,094,527	$8,409
The Wolfman	2010 Feb 12	$30,627,000	3222	$29,113,118	$9,036
Scary Movie 2	2001 Jul 4	$20,503,356	3220	$27,216,844	$8,452
Road To El Dorado	2000 Mar 31	$12,846,652	3218	$17,875,675	$5,555
Paranormal Activity 2	2010 Oct 22	$40,678,400	3216	$38,667,681	$12,024
Be Cool	2005 Mar 4	$23,450,212	3216	$27,437,846	$8,532
Kingdom of Heaven	2005 May 6	$19,635,996	3216	$22,975,034	$7,144
Beverly...Chihuahua	2008 Oct 3	$29,300,465	3215	$30,606,335	$9,520
What Happens in Vegas	2008 May 9	$20,172,474	3215	$21,071,526	$6,554
Pearl Harbor	2001 May 25	$59,078,912	3214	$78,423,335	$24,401
Marmaduke	2010 Jun 4	$11,599,661	3213	$11,026,294	$3,432
Trouble with the Curve	2012 Sep 21	$12,162,000	3212
SpongeBob Movie	2004 Nov 19	$32,018,000	3212	$38,606,913	$12,020
Grudge 2	2006 Oct 13	$20,825,300	3211	$23,845,763	$7,426
The Mummy	1999 May 7	$43,369,635	3209	$64,283,056	$20,032
Underworld 2	2006 Jan 20	$26,857,181	3207	$30,752,497	$9,589
Unstoppable	2010 Nov 12	$22,688,457	3207	$21,566,974	$6,725
Yours, Mine and Ours	2005 Nov 23	$17,461,000	3206	$20,430,187	$6,372
Deck the Halls	2006 Nov 22	$12,002,725	3205	$13,743,578	$4,288
The Campaign	2012 Aug 10	$26,588,000	3205
Bandits	2001 Oct 12	$13,050,700	3204	$17,323,938	$5,407
Corpse Bride	2005 Sep 16	$19,143,900	3204	$22,399,259	$6,991
Hellboy 2	2008 Jul 11	$34,539,115	3204	$36,078,463	$11,260
Elektra	2005 Jan 14	$12,803,000	3203	$14,980,109	$4,677
Resident Evil 4	2010 Sep 10	$26,650,264	3203	$25,332,951	$7,909
S.W.A.T.	2003 Aug 8	$37,062,535	3202	$46,097,680	$14,397
The Host (2013)	2013 Mar 29	$10,600,000	3202
American Pie 4	2012 Apr 6	$21,514,000	3192
Lilo & Stitch	2002 Jun 21	$35,260,000	3191	$45,594,828	$14,289

* adjusted for ticket prices (calculated in 2009 dollars) ** adjusted per theater gross ("crowdedness")

Other Box Office Open Comparisons
Monsters University World War Z This Is the End The Hangover Part III Fast & Furious 6 Star Trek Into Darkness The Great Gatsby Iron Man 3 The Big Wedding Pain & Gain Oblivion Scary Movie 5 42 Evil Dead (2013) Tyler Perry's Temptation G.I. Joe 2: Retaliation Olympus Has Fallen Admission The Expendables 2 The Bourne Legacy

About Box Office Comparisons
The box office line represents the potential extremes for 's opening weekend gross. The red notch is Lee's prediction. The red range around Lee's prediction represents the median average percent off of 500+ opening weekend predictions using abs(prediction - actual) / prediction. The actual opening weekend gross fell within the range 50% of the time. (1 pixel = approximately $59,979)

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