State of Play Box Office Comparisons

Box Office For Sunday, May. 12: (1) Iron Man 3 $20.8M (2) The Great Gatsby $13M (3) Peeples $1.7M

BOX OFFICE

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Most Requested Titles

Iron Man 3
Oz
Olympus Has Fallen
Identity Thief
42
The Croods
Pain & Gain

Most Requested Trailers

Most Requested Profiles

Shirley MacLaine
Stephen Dorff
Billy Zane
Lance Crouther
Channing Tatum
Marcus Raboy
Daniel Gordon

State of Play Opening Comparisons

Lee's Prediction: $11.632 million (3-day) 2803 theaters (marked as

).
State of Play weekend gross: $14.071 million (marked as

Also opening on Apr 17, 2009: 17 Again Crank 2

$8.935

$10.505$13.362

$14.006$16.302

$8.013

Director and Actor Comparisons (3-day opening weekend, in million $)

Kevin Macdonald (dir) Marley ($0.262), The Eagle ($8.684), Last King of Scotland ($0.143)
Rachel McAdams: To the Wonder ($0.117), The Vow ($41.202), Sherlock Holmes 2 ($39.637)
Jason Bateman: Identity Thief ($34.551), The Change-Up ($13.502), Horrible Bosses ($28.110)

Title	Release	First Weekend	Theaters	Adjusted*	Adj. Avg.**

State of Play	2009 Apr 17	$14,071,280	2803	$14,071,280	$5,020
Three Kings	1999 Oct 1	$15,847,636	2942	$23,489,579	$7,984
Underworld 3	2009 Jan 23	$20,828,511	2942	$20,828,511	$7,080
The Dilemma	2011 Jan 14	$17,816,230	2940	$16,681,863	$5,674
Gladiator	2000 May 5	$34,819,017	2938	$48,449,467	$16,491
The Five-Year Engagement	2012 Apr 27	$10,610,000	2936
The Losers	2010 Apr 23	$9,406,348	2936	$8,941,395	$3,045
Rugrats in Paris	2000 Nov 17	$22,718,184	2934	$31,611,573	$10,774
Batman & Robin	1997 Jun 27	$42,872,605	2934	$70,053,276	$23,876
Silent Hill: Revelation 3D	2012 Oct 26	$8,023,000	2933
Magic Mike	2012 Jun 29	$39,127,000	2930
Life of Pi	2012 Nov 21	$22,451,000	2927
Friends with Benefits	2011 Jul 22	$18,622,200	2926	$17,436,517	$5,959
Silent Hill	2006 Apr 21	$20,152,598	2926	$23,075,494	$7,886
Wedding Crashers	2005 Jul 15	$33,900,720	2925	$39,665,429	$13,561
Disturbia	2007 Apr 13	$22,224,982	2925	$24,227,815	$8,283
The Spy Next Door	2010 Jan 15	$9,700,000	2924	$9,220,532	$3,153
How to Lose a Guy	2003 Feb 7	$23,775,000	2923	$29,570,896	$10,117
Air Force One	1997 Jul 25	$37,132,505	2919	$60,674,028	$20,786
Bridesmaids	2011 May 13	$26,247,400	2918	$24,576,217	$8,422
Invincible	2006 Aug 25	$17,032,363	2917	$19,502,706	$6,686
Showtime	2002 Mar 15	$15,011,430	2917	$19,411,332	$6,655
Underworld	2003 Sep 19	$21,754,000	2915	$27,057,214	$9,282
Accepted	2006 Aug 18	$10,023,835	2914	$11,477,674	$3,939
Dragon Tattoo	2011 Dec 21	$13,000,000	2914	$12,172,285	$4,177
This Is 40	2012 Dec 21	$11,579,000	2913
The Change-Up	2011 Aug 5	$13,501,800	2913	$12,642,135	$4,340
The Last Stand	2013 Jan 18	$6,281,000	2913
Scary Movie	2000 Jul 7	$42,346,669	2912	$58,923,936	$20,235
Blade Trinity	2004 Dec 8	$16,061,000	2912	$19,366,158	$6,650
Dinner for Schmucks	2010 Jul 30	$23,527,839	2911	$22,364,866	$7,683

* adjusted for ticket prices (calculated in 2009 dollars) ** adjusted per theater gross ("crowdedness")

Other Box Office Open Comparisons
World War Z Monsters University This Is the End The Hangover Part III Fast & Furious 6 Star Trek Into Darkness The Great Gatsby Iron Man 3 The Big Wedding Pain & Gain Oblivion Scary Movie 5 42 Evil Dead (2013) Tyler Perry's Temptation G.I. Joe 2: Retaliation Olympus Has Fallen Admission The Expendables 2 The Campaign

About Box Office Comparisons
The box office line represents the potential extremes for 's opening weekend gross. The red notch is Lee's prediction. The red range around Lee's prediction represents the median average percent off of 500+ opening weekend predictions using abs(prediction - actual) / prediction. The actual opening weekend gross fell within the range 50% of the time. (1 pixel = approximately $16,578)

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