As for who the Academy will pick, I
think it's between A Beautiful Mind,
Lord of the Rings and Moulin Rouge,
but with Matt Drudge's recent attacks
on the Ron Howard release, Beautiful
Mind could be smothered in chances. If
the old pattern of big Hollywood
productions and budgets takes over,
Peter Jackson's Lord of the Rings
could take top honors for Picture.
Moulin Rouge has chances, but in all
honesty I'm hoping that it doesn't
take home the Oscar. While Bedroom
likely will not win, I'd rather have A
Beautiful Mind take that honor.
Best
Director could be between Howard,
Altman and Jackson. While the
execution of Black Hawk Down
represented powerhouse directing,
Ridley Scott will probably not receive
the award, given the fact of Altman's
past career and the hype around
Beautiful Mind and Lord of the Rings.
David Lynch has chance in there, but
the film itself (Mulholland Drive) was
not a hit in theaters, which
unfortunately can pay a part in that
award (maybe he will win, you never
know). Plus with a director of such
awkward yet genius storytelling
techniques, Academy members may lean
away.
For Best
Actor, in my book Tom Wilkinson would
win for Bedroom, but I'm not so sure
he can achieve it. Denzel Washington's
been receiving some buzz for Training
Day and Russell Crowe's got his foot
in the door for that opportunity, but
I doubt Sean Penn or Will Smith will
earn the honor. I'd say it's likely to
be either Crowe or Washington, with
the slight chance of Wilkinson.
For
Actress, I've only seen three of the
said flicks. Renee Zellweger, while
pulling off her role in Bridget
Jones's Diary very well, I don't
believe is really worth an actual
Academy Award. I didn't find Sissy
Spacek as electrifying in Bedroom as
some critics proclaimed, but the
actress has a solid shot of taking
home the award. Halle Berry also has
lately received a bonus of buzz for
her part in Monster's Ball, of which I
haven't seen yet. With all the
re-release action of Moulin Rouge,
Nicole Kidman as well has a nice
chance of winning. Judi Dench's
chances are iffy, as Iris was not
necessarily an art-house hit yet her
winning for Shakespeare in Love could
aid in that factor. If I had to take a
guess, it would be between Berry,
Kidman and Spacek, with Dench being
the wild card.
For
Supporting Actor, Sexy Beast I thought
was over-rated, as while I found
Kingsley's character to be one
interesting role, I wasn't wow'd.
Ethan Hawke I also think should not be
even involved in the Oscars this year
(how he is included and Gene Hackman
for Actor {Royal Tenenbaums} isn't is
beyond me), but I've got my eyes on
either McKellen or Kingsley to win.
Best
Supporting Actress I have a pretty
good feeling will go to Jennifer
Connelly for Beautiful Mind. The only
other one I see as an option is Marisa
Tomei for Bedroom, but Connelly almost
seems to own the category.
Best
Original Screenplay...one word:
MEMENTO! The film's not up for enough
awards, but if it doesn't win at least
screenplay, Nolan's been seriously
cheated.
And
finally for Adapted Screenplay, I'd
personally (in my own awards) pick
Ghost World, In the Bedroom or Shrek,
but A Beautiful Mind has a shot at it.
Lord of the Rings is about the only
film I can't see winning for this.
Phew! Only
took me 25 minutes. Well, have fun
watching the Oscars and stay tuned
later tonight for a complete list of
Academy Award winners.
Actual Predictions
Picture: A Beautiful Mind
Director: Peter Jackson -
Lord of the Rings
Foreign Film: Amelie
Actor: Russell Crowe - A
Beautiful Mind
Actress: Sissy Spacek - In
the Bedroom
Sup. Actor: Ian McKellen -
Lord of the Rings
Sup. Actress: Jennifer Connelly
O. Screenplay: Memento
A. Screenplay: A Beautiful Mind