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LMI Home Box Office Predictions Reviews Upcoming Featured Box Office For Thursday, Oct. 23: (1) Fury $2M   (2) Gone Girl $1.5M   (3) The Judge $0.7M  
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Nightcrawler posterNightcrawler Opening Comparisons

$7.006
The Paper
15 Minutes
$10.748
$11.341
Drive
Zodiac
$13.396
$14.253
8MM
Paparazzi
$6.146
Director and Actor Comparisons (3-day opening weekend, in million $)
Dan Gilroy (dir)
Jake Gyllenhaal: Prisoners ($20.817), End of Watch ($13.153), Source Code ($14.812)
Bill Paxton: Edge of Tomorrow ($28.760), Million Dollar Arm ($10.516), 2 Guns ($27.059)
Selected By Weekend By Gross By Theaters By Average
 Title Release First Weekend Theaters Adjusted* Adj. Avg.**
 Nightcrawler2014 Oct 31
 Paparazzi 2004 Sep 3 $6,146,262 2115 $8,152,196 $3,854
 The Paper 1994 Mar 18 $7,005,640 1092 $14,165,816 $12,972
 15 Minutes 2001 Mar 9 $10,747,863 2337 $15,693,782 $6,715
 Drive 2011 Sep 16 $11,340,500 2886 $11,798,124 $4,088
 Zodiac 2007 Mar 2 $13,395,610 2362 $16,063,050 $6,801
 8MM 1999 Feb 26 $14,252,888 2370 $23,238,404 $9,805
 Collateral 2004 Aug 6 $24,701,458 3188 $32,763,188 $10,277
* adjusted for ticket prices (calculated in 2014 dollars) ** adjusted per theater gross ("crowdedness")
Other Box Office Open Comparisons
The Interview Inherent Vice Exodus Dumb and Dumber To Interstellar Nightcrawler Fury Birdman The Judge Men, Women & Children Gone Girl Annabelle Sin City 2 The Expendables 3 Let's Be Cops Into the Storm Ninja Turtles (2014) Guardians...Galaxy Hercules (2014) Sex Tape

About Box Office Comparisons
The box office line represents the potential extremes for 's opening weekend gross. The red notch is Lee's prediction. The red range around Lee's prediction represents the median average percent off of 500+ opening weekend predictions using abs(prediction - actual) / prediction. The actual opening weekend gross fell within the range 50% of the time. (1 pixel = approximately $16,213)
 

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