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LMI Home Box Office Predictions Reviews Upcoming Featured Box Office For Friday, Oct. 20: (1) Boo 2! $7.5M   (2) Geostorm $4.3M   (3) Death Day $3M  
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Spider-Man 3 posterSpider-Man 3 Opening Comparisons

Lee's Prediction: $129.717 million (3-day) 4252 theaters (marked as ).
Spider-Man 3 weekend gross: $151.117 million (marked as ).
$85.559
X2
Spider-Man 2
$88.156
$102.751
X3
Spider-Man
$114.844
$135.635
Pirates of Caribbean 2
X-Men
$54.471
Director and Actor Comparisons (3-day opening weekend, in million $)
Sam Raimi (dir) Oz ($79.110), Drag Me to Hell ($15.825), Spider-Man 2 ($88.156)
Tobey Maguire: The Boss Baby ($50.199), Pawn Sacrifice ($0.207), The Great Gatsby ($50.085)
Kirsten Dunst: The Beguiled ($0.241), Hidden Figures ($0.516), Midnight Special ($1.130)
Selected By Weekend By Gross By Theaters By Average
 Title Release First Weekend Theaters Adjusted* Adj. Avg.**
 Spider-Man 32007 May 4$151,116,5164252$151,116,516$35,540
 Batman & Robin 1997 Jun 27 $42,872,605 2934 $64,262,205 $21,903
 Batman Returns 1992 Jun 19 $45,687,710 2644 $75,742,517 $28,647
 Batman Begins 2005 Jun 15 $48,745,440 3858 $52,319,599 $13,561
 Batman Forever 1995 Jun 16 $52,784,433 2842 $83,484,345 $29,375
 X-Men 2000 Jul 14 $54,471,475 3025 $69,529,452 $22,985
 Fantastic Four 2005 Jul 8 $56,061,504 3602 $60,172,098 $16,705
 Attack of the Clones 2002 May 16 $80,027,814 3161 $94,929,545 $30,031
 X2 2003 May 2 $85,558,731 3741 $97,619,249 $26,094
 Spider-Man 2 2004 Jun 30 $88,156,227 4152 $97,510,425 $23,485
 Harry Potter 2001 Nov 16 $90,294,621 3672 $109,951,680 $29,943
 Prisoner of Azkaban 2004 Jun 4 $93,687,367 3855 $103,628,470 $26,882
 Goblet of Fire 2005 Nov 18 $102,335,066 3858 $109,838,573 $28,470
 X3 2006 May 26 $102,750,665 3690 $107,927,416 $29,249
 Revenge of the Sith 2005 May 19 $108,435,841 3661 $116,386,675 $31,791
 Spider-Man 2002 May 3 $114,844,116 3615 $136,228,882 $37,684
 Pirates of Caribbean 2 2006 Jul 7 $135,634,554 4133 $142,468,051 $34,471
* adjusted for ticket prices (calculated in 2007 dollars) ** adjusted per theater gross ("crowdedness")
Other Box Office Open Comparisons
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About Box Office Comparisons
The box office line represents the potential extremes for 's opening weekend gross. The red notch is Lee's prediction. The red range around Lee's prediction represents the median average percent off of 500+ opening weekend predictions using abs(prediction - actual) / prediction. The actual opening weekend gross fell within the range 50% of the time. (1 pixel = approximately $162,326)

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