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LMI Home Box Office Predictions Reviews Upcoming Featured Box Office For Friday, Oct. 20: (1) Boo 2! $7.5M   (2) Geostorm $4.3M   (3) Death Day $3M  
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The Guardian posterThe Guardian Opening Comparisons

Lee's Prediction: $22.382 million (3-day) 3241 theaters (marked as ).
The Guardian weekend gross: $18.006 million (marked as ).
Also opening on Sep 29, 2006: Open Season School for Scoundrels
$15.011
Rules of Engagement
Behind Enemy Lines
$18.736
$22.088
Ladder 49
Master & Commander
$25.106
$41.325
The Perfect Storm
Men of Honor
$13.339
Director and Actor Comparisons (3-day opening weekend, in million $)
Andrew Davis (dir) Holes ($16.382), Collateral Damage ($15.055), A Perfect Murder ($16.632)
Ashton Kutcher: Jobs ($6.714), New Year's Eve ($13.019), No Strings Attached ($19.653)
Kevin Costner: Hidden Figures ($0.516), Criminal (2016) ($5.767), McFarland, USA ($11.021)
Selected By Weekend By Gross By Theaters By Average
 Title Release First Weekend Theaters Adjusted* Adj. Avg.**
 The Guardian2006 Sep 29$18,006,0643241$18,006,064$5,556
 Men of Honor 2000 Nov 10 $13,339,465 2092 $16,210,296 $7,749
 Rules of Engagement 2000 Mar 31 $15,011,181 3155 $18,241,788 $5,782
 Behind Enemy Lines 2001 Nov 30 $18,736,133 2770 $21,720,650 $7,841
 Ladder 49 2004 Oct 1 $22,088,204 3260 $23,260,086 $7,135
 Master & Commander 2003 Nov 14 $25,105,990 3101 $27,271,017 $8,794
 The Perfect Storm 2000 Jun 30 $41,325,042 3407 $50,218,743 $14,740
* adjusted for ticket prices (calculated in 2006 dollars) ** adjusted per theater gross ("crowdedness")
Other Box Office Open Comparisons
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About Box Office Comparisons
The box office line represents the potential extremes for 's opening weekend gross. The red notch is Lee's prediction. The red range around Lee's prediction represents the median average percent off of 500+ opening weekend predictions using abs(prediction - actual) / prediction. The actual opening weekend gross fell within the range 50% of the time. (1 pixel = approximately $55,971)

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