Die Hard 4 Box Office Comparisons

Box Office For Sunday, May. 12: (1) Iron Man 3 $20.8M (2) The Great Gatsby $13M (3) Peeples $1.7M

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Olympus Has Fallen
Iron Man 3
42
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Die Hard 4 Opening Comparisons

Lee's Prediction: $35.273 million (3-day) 3408 theaters (marked as

).
Die Hard 4 weekend gross: $33.370 million (marked as

$22.162

$25.870$34.048

$37.063$44.041

$21.715

Director and Actor Comparisons (3-day opening weekend, in million $)

Len Wiseman (dir) Total Recall (2012) ($25.578), Underworld 2 ($26.857), Underworld ($21.754)
Bruce Willis: Sin City 2 ($0.009), G.I. Joe 2: Retaliation ($40.502), A Good Day to Die Hard ($24.835)
Maggie Q: Priest ($14.954), Deception ($2.312), Balls of Fury ($11.605)

Title	Release	First Weekend	Theaters	Adjusted*	Adj. Avg.**

Die Hard 4	2007 Jun 27	$33,369,559	3408	$33,369,559	$9,792
Lethal Weapon	1987 Mar 6	$6,829,949	1256	$12,017,915	$9,568
Die Hard	1988 Jul 15	$7,106,044	1276	$11,895,276	$9,322
Hostage	2005 Mar 11	$10,214,734	2123	$10,963,708	$5,164
16 Blocks	2006 Mar 3	$11,855,260	2706	$12,452,548	$4,602
Lethal Weapon 2	1989 Jul 7	$20,388,800	1803	$35,156,628	$19,499
Shaft	2000 Jun 16	$21,714,757	2337	$27,717,538	$11,860
Die Hard 2	1990 Jul 4	$21,744,661	2507	$35,451,011	$14,141
Die Hard 3	1995 May 19	$22,162,245	2525	$35,052,010	$13,882
Tomorrow Never Dies	1997 Dec 19	$25,143,007	2807	$37,687,122	$13,426
True Lies	1994 Jul 15	$25,869,770	2369	$43,623,534	$18,414
GoldenEye	1995 Nov 17	$26,205,007	2667	$41,446,080	$15,540
Terminator 2	1991 Jul 3	$31,766,000	2274	$51,912,133	$22,829
Lethal Weapon 3	1992 May 15	$33,243,086	2510	$55,111,429	$21,957
Lethal Weapon 4	1998 Jul 10	$34,048,124	3117	$49,946,928	$16,024
The World Is Not Enough	1999 Nov 19	$35,519,007	3163	$48,294,618	$15,269
S.W.A.T.	2003 Aug 8	$37,062,535	3202	$42,286,939	$13,206
Casino Royale	2006 Nov 17	$40,833,156	3434	$42,890,399	$12,490
Terminator 3	2003 Jul 2	$44,041,000	3504	$50,249,101	$14,340
Mission: Impossible	1996 May 22	$45,436,830	3012	$70,725,201	$23,481
Bad Boys II	2003 Jul 18	$46,523,000	3186	$53,080,968	$16,661
Die Another Day	2002 Nov 22	$47,072,000	3314	$55,837,131	$16,849
Mission: Impossible III	2006 May 5	$47,743,273	4054	$50,148,659	$12,370
Batman Begins	2005 Jun 15	$48,745,440	3858	$52,319,599	$13,561
Mission: Impossible II	2000 May 24	$57,845,297	3653	$73,835,926	$20,212

* adjusted for ticket prices (calculated in 2007 dollars) ** adjusted per theater gross ("crowdedness")

Other Box Office Open Comparisons
Monsters University World War Z This Is the End The Hangover Part III Fast & Furious 6 Star Trek Into Darkness The Great Gatsby Iron Man 3 The Big Wedding Pain & Gain Oblivion 42 Scary Movie 5 Evil Dead (2013) Tyler Perry's Temptation G.I. Joe 2: Retaliation Olympus Has Fallen Admission The Expendables 2 The Bourne Legacy

About Box Office Comparisons
The box office line represents the potential extremes for 's opening weekend gross. The red notch is Lee's prediction. The red range around Lee's prediction represents the median average percent off of 500+ opening weekend predictions using abs(prediction - actual) / prediction. The actual opening weekend gross fell within the range 50% of the time. (1 pixel = approximately $44,652)

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