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LMI Home Box Office Predictions Reviews Upcoming Featured Box Office For Sunday, Dec. 3: (1) Coco $9.4M   (2) Justice League $4.7M   (3) Wonder $3.4M  
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Live Free or Die Hard posterLive Free or Die Hard Opening Comparisons

Lee's Prediction: $35.273 million (3-day) 3408 theaters (marked as ).
Live Free or Die Hard weekend gross: $33.370 million (marked as ).
$22.162
Die Hard 3
True Lies
$25.870
$34.048
Lethal Weapon 4
S.W.A.T.
$37.063
$44.041
Terminator 3
Shaft
$21.715
Director and Actor Comparisons (3-day opening weekend, in million $)
Len Wiseman (dir) Total Recall (2012) ($25.578), Underworld 2 ($26.857), Underworld ($21.754)
Bruce Willis: Rock the Kasbah ($1.471), Sin City 2 ($6.318), Red 2 ($18.048)
Maggie Q: Allegiant: Part 1 ($29.027), Insurgent ($52.264), Priest ($14.954)
Selected By Weekend By Gross By Theaters By Average
 Title Release First Weekend Theaters Adjusted* Adj. Avg.**
 Live Free or Die Hard2007 Jun 27$33,369,5593408$33,369,559$9,792
 Lethal Weapon 1987 Mar 6 $6,829,949 1256 $12,017,915 $9,568
 Die Hard 1988 Jul 15 $7,106,044 1276 $11,895,276 $9,322
 Hostage 2005 Mar 11 $10,214,734 2123 $10,963,708 $5,164
 16 Blocks 2006 Mar 3 $11,855,260 2706 $12,452,548 $4,602
 Lethal Weapon 2 1989 Jul 7 $20,388,800 1803 $35,156,628 $19,499
 Shaft 2000 Jun 16 $21,714,757 2337 $27,717,538 $11,860
 Die Hard 2 1990 Jul 4 $21,744,661 2507 $35,451,011 $14,141
 Die Hard 3 1995 May 19 $22,162,245 2525 $35,052,010 $13,882
 Tomorrow Never Dies 1997 Dec 19 $25,143,007 2807 $37,687,122 $13,426
 True Lies 1994 Jul 15 $25,869,770 2369 $43,623,534 $18,414
 GoldenEye 1995 Nov 17 $26,205,007 2667 $41,446,080 $15,540
 Terminator 2 1991 Jul 3 $31,766,000 2274 $51,912,133 $22,829
 Lethal Weapon 3 1992 May 15 $33,243,086 2510 $55,111,429 $21,957
 Lethal Weapon 4 1998 Jul 10 $34,048,124 3117 $49,946,928 $16,024
 The World Is Not Enough 1999 Nov 19 $35,519,007 3163 $48,294,618 $15,269
 S.W.A.T. 2003 Aug 8 $37,062,535 3202 $42,286,939 $13,206
 Casino Royale 2006 Nov 17 $40,833,156 3434 $42,890,399 $12,490
 Terminator 3 2003 Jul 2 $44,041,000 3504 $50,249,101 $14,340
 Mission: Impossible 1996 May 22 $45,436,830 3012 $70,725,201 $23,481
 Bad Boys II 2003 Jul 18 $46,523,000 3186 $53,080,968 $16,661
 Die Another Day 2002 Nov 22 $47,072,000 3314 $55,837,131 $16,849
 Mission: Impossible III 2006 May 5 $47,743,273 4054 $50,148,659 $12,370
 Batman Begins 2005 Jun 15 $48,745,440 3858 $52,319,599 $13,561
 Mission: Impossible II 2000 May 24 $57,845,297 3653 $73,835,926 $20,212
* adjusted for ticket prices (calculated in 2007 dollars) ** adjusted per theater gross ("crowdedness")
Other Box Office Open Comparisons
CHIPS Inferno The Accountant Mechanic: Resurrection Suicide Squad Bad Moms Jason Bourne Mike and Dave... Central Intelligence Warcraft Ninja Turtles 2 Popstar The Nice Guys Neighbors 2 Search Party Civil War Mother's Day The Boss Batman v Superman The Brothers Grimsby

About Box Office Comparisons
The box office line represents the potential extremes for 's opening weekend gross. The red notch is Lee's prediction. The red range around Lee's prediction represents the median average percent off of 500+ opening weekend predictions using abs(prediction - actual) / prediction. The actual opening weekend gross fell within the range 50% of the time. (1 pixel = approximately $44,652)

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