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LMI Home Box Office Predictions Reviews Upcoming Featured Box Office For Monday, Oct. 9: (1) Blade Runner 2049 $4.5M   (2) LEGO Ninjago $1.9M   (3) The Golden Circle $1.4M  
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Cloverfield posterCloverfield Opening Comparisons

Lee's Prediction: $37.692 million (3-day) 3411 theaters (marked as ).
Cloverfield weekend gross: $40.058 million (marked as ).
Also opening on Jan 18, 2008: 27 Dresses Mad Money
$44.048
Godzilla (1998)
Independence Day
$50.228
$64.879
War of the Worlds
The Day After Tomorrow
$68.744
$77.211
I Am Legend
Blair Witch
$29.207
Director and Actor Comparisons (3-day opening weekend, in million $)
Matt Reeves (dir) War...Apes ($56.263), Dawn...Apes ($72.611), Let Me In ($5.147)
Mike Vogel: The Case for Christ ($3.968), The Help ($26.045), Blue Valentine ($0.180)
Lizzy Caplan: Allied ($12.702), Now You See Me 2 ($22.383), The Night Before ($9.881)
Selected By Weekend By Gross By Theaters By Average
 Title Release First Weekend Theaters Adjusted* Adj. Avg.**
 Cloverfield2008 Jan 18$40,058,2293411$40,058,229$11,744
 Snakes on a Plane 2006 Aug 18 $13,804,065 3555 $15,131,784 $4,256
 Blair Witch 1999 Jul 16 $29,207,381 1101 $41,444,466 $37,643
 Armageddon 1998 Jul 1 $36,089,972 3127 $55,250,746 $17,669
 Godzilla (1998) 1998 May 19 $44,047,541 3310 $67,433,122 $20,373
 King Kong 2005 Dec 14 $50,130,000 3568 $56,151,856 $15,738
 Independence Day 1996 Jul 3 $50,228,264 2882 $81,592,519 $28,311
 War of the Worlds 2005 Jun 29 $64,878,725 3908 $72,672,269 $18,596
 The Day After Tomorrow 2004 May 28 $68,743,584 3425 $79,353,526 $23,169
 Transformers 2007 Jul 3 $70,502,384 4011 $73,576,616 $18,344
 The Lost World 1997 May 23 $72,132,785 3281 $112,835,163 $34,390
 I Am Legend 2007 Dec 14 $77,211,321 3606 $80,578,094 $22,346
* adjusted for ticket prices (calculated in 2008 dollars) ** adjusted per theater gross ("crowdedness")
Other Box Office Open Comparisons
CHIPS Inferno The Accountant Mechanic: Resurrection Suicide Squad Bad Moms Jason Bourne Mike and Dave... Central Intelligence Warcraft Ninja Turtles 2 Popstar The Nice Guys Neighbors 2 Search Party Civil War Mother's Day The Boss Batman v Superman The Brothers Grimsby

About Box Office Comparisons
The box office line represents the potential extremes for 's opening weekend gross. The red notch is Lee's prediction. The red range around Lee's prediction represents the median average percent off of 500+ opening weekend predictions using abs(prediction - actual) / prediction. The actual opening weekend gross fell within the range 50% of the time. (1 pixel = approximately $96,008)

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