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LMI Home Box Office Predictions Reviews Upcoming Featured Box Office For Monday, Oct. 9: (1) Blade Runner 2049 $4.5M   (2) LEGO Ninjago $1.9M   (3) The Golden Circle $1.4M  
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The Covenant posterThe Covenant Opening Comparisons

Lee's Prediction: $12.145 million (3-day) 2681 theaters (marked as ).
The Covenant weekend gross: $8.852 million (marked as ).
Also opening on Sep 08, 2006: Hollywoodland The Protector
$3.020
The Forsaken
The Craft
$6.711
$9.633
Cursed
The Faculty
$11.409
$19.021
Boogeyman
Mindhunters
$1.911
Director and Actor Comparisons (3-day opening weekend, in million $)
Renny Harlin (dir) Legend of Hercules ($8.868), 12 Rounds ($5.329), Mindhunters ($1.911)
Toby Hemingway:
Steven Strait: City Island ($0.609), 10,000 BC ($35.867), Undiscovered ($0.676)
Selected By Weekend By Gross By Theaters By Average
 Title Release First Weekend Theaters Adjusted* Adj. Avg.**
 The Covenant2006 Sep 8$8,852,4582681$8,852,458$3,302
 Mindhunters 2005 May 13 $1,911,000 1040 $1,952,738 $1,878
 The Forsaken 2001 Apr 27 $3,020,159 1514 $3,501,246 $2,313
 The Craft 1996 May 3 $6,710,995 1757 $9,945,027 $5,660
 Cursed 2005 Feb 25 $9,633,000 2805 $9,843,393 $3,509
 The Faculty 1998 Dec 25 $11,408,760 2365 $15,933,343 $6,737
 Boogeyman 2005 Feb 4 $19,021,000 3052 $19,436,435 $6,368
* adjusted for ticket prices (calculated in 2006 dollars) ** adjusted per theater gross ("crowdedness")
Other Box Office Open Comparisons
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About Box Office Comparisons
The box office line represents the potential extremes for 's opening weekend gross. The red notch is Lee's prediction. The red range around Lee's prediction represents the median average percent off of 500+ opening weekend predictions using abs(prediction - actual) / prediction. The actual opening weekend gross fell within the range 50% of the time. (1 pixel = approximately $34,220)

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