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LMI Home Box Office Predictions Reviews Upcoming Featured Box Office For Monday, Oct. 9: (1) Blade Runner 2049 $4.5M   (2) LEGO Ninjago $1.9M   (3) The Golden Circle $1.4M  
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21 poster21 Opening Comparisons

Lee's Prediction: $18.668 million (3-day) 2648 theaters (marked as ).
21 weekend gross: $24.106 million (marked as ).
Also opening on Mar 28, 2008: Run, Fat Boy, Run Stop Loss Superhero!
$8.459
Rounders
Casino
$9.946
$16.566
A Beautiful Mind
Catch Me If You Can
$30.082
$38.108
Ocean's 11
Boiler Room
$5.741
Director and Actor Comparisons (3-day opening weekend, in million $)
Robert Luketic (dir) Paranoia ($3.528), Killers ($15.837), The Ugly Truth ($27.606)
Kevin Spacey: Baby Driver ($20.553), Nine Lives (2016) ($6.250), Elvis & Nixon ($0.466)
Kate Bosworth: 90 Minutes in Heaven ($2.035), Still Alice ($1.578), Homefront ($6.915)
Selected By Weekend By Gross By Theaters By Average
 Title Release First Weekend Theaters Adjusted* Adj. Avg.**
 212008 Mar 28$24,105,9432648$24,105,943$9,103
 Lucky You 2007 May 4 $2,710,445 2525 $2,828,633 $1,120
 The Perfect Score 2004 Jan 30 $4,874,000 2208 $5,626,257 $2,548
 Boiler Room 2000 Feb 18 $5,740,500 1335 $7,646,900 $5,728
 54 1998 Aug 28 $6,683,105 1859 $10,231,278 $5,504
 Life of David Gale 2003 Feb 21 $7,117,000 2002 $8,474,305 $4,233
 Rounders 1998 Sep 11 $8,459,126 2176 $12,950,218 $5,951
 Jackie Brown 1997 Dec 25 $9,292,248 1370 $14,535,586 $10,610
 Pay It Forward 2000 Oct 20 $9,631,359 2130 $12,829,899 $6,023
 Casino 1995 Nov 22 $9,946,480 1616 $16,417,408 $10,159
 A Beautiful Mind 2001 Dec 21 $16,565,820 1853 $21,051,785 $11,361
 The Italian Job 2003 May 30 $19,457,944 2633 $23,168,829 $8,799
 Catch Me If You Can 2002 Dec 25 $30,082,000 3156 $37,239,441 $11,800
 Ocean's 11 2001 Dec 5 $38,107,822 3075 $48,427,285 $15,749
 Casino Royale 2006 Nov 17 $40,833,156 3434 $44,760,620 $13,035
* adjusted for ticket prices (calculated in 2008 dollars) ** adjusted per theater gross ("crowdedness")
Other Box Office Open Comparisons
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About Box Office Comparisons
The box office line represents the potential extremes for 's opening weekend gross. The red notch is Lee's prediction. The red range around Lee's prediction represents the median average percent off of 500+ opening weekend predictions using abs(prediction - actual) / prediction. The actual opening weekend gross fell within the range 50% of the time. (1 pixel = approximately $64,735)

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