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LMI Home Box Office Predictions Reviews Upcoming Featured Box Office For Monday, Oct. 9: (1) Blade Runner 2049 $4.5M   (2) LEGO Ninjago $1.9M   (3) The Golden Circle $1.4M  
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Forgetting Sarah Marshall posterForgetting Sarah Marshall Opening Comparisons

Lee's Prediction: $16.648 million (3-day) 2798 theaters (marked as ).
Forgetting Sarah Marshall weekend gross: $17.725 million (marked as ).
Also opening on Apr 18, 2008: 88 Minutes Forbidden Kingdom
$4.174
Walk Hard
40 Days & 40 Nights
$12.230
$13.741
Something About Mary
The 40 Year Old Virgin
$21.423
$30.691
Knocked Up
Slackers
$2.783
Director and Actor Comparisons (3-day opening weekend, in million $)
Nicholas Stoller (dir) Storks ($21.311), Neighbors 2 ($21.760), Neighbors ($49.034)
Jason Segel: End of the Tour ($0.123), Sex Tape ($14.608), This Is 40 ($11.579)
Jonah Hill: War Dogs ($14.685), Sausage Party ($34.264), True Story ($1.950)
Selected By Weekend By Gross By Theaters By Average
 Title Release First Weekend Theaters Adjusted* Adj. Avg.**
 Forgetting Sarah Marshall2008 Apr 18$17,725,3302798$17,725,330$6,335
 Slackers 2002 Feb 1 $2,782,710 1893 $3,444,803 $1,820
 Get Over It 2001 Mar 9 $4,134,977 1742 $5,254,714 $3,016
 Walk Hard 2007 Dec 21 $4,174,383 2650 $4,356,406 $1,644
 The Girl Next Door 2004 Apr 9 $6,004,000 2148 $6,930,662 $3,227
 A Guy Thing 2003 Jan 17 $6,988,749 2515 $8,321,595 $3,309
 Tad Hamilton! 2004 Jan 23 $7,320,066 2711 $8,449,851 $3,117
 Saving Silverman 2001 Feb 9 $7,411,852 2467 $9,418,955 $3,818
 40 Days & 40 Nights 2002 Mar 1 $12,229,529 2225 $15,139,313 $6,804
 Good Luck Chuck 2007 Sep 21 $13,652,001 2612 $14,247,292 $5,455
 Something About Mary 1998 Jul 15 $13,740,644 2186 $21,035,783 $9,623
 The Heartbreak Kid 2007 Oct 5 $14,022,105 3229 $14,633,534 $4,532
 The 40 Year Old Virgin 2005 Aug 19 $21,422,815 2845 $23,996,226 $8,435
 Knocked Up 2007 Jun 1 $30,690,990 2871 $32,029,260 $11,156
* adjusted for ticket prices (calculated in 2008 dollars) ** adjusted per theater gross ("crowdedness")
Other Box Office Open Comparisons
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About Box Office Comparisons
The box office line represents the potential extremes for 's opening weekend gross. The red notch is Lee's prediction. The red range around Lee's prediction represents the median average percent off of 500+ opening weekend predictions using abs(prediction - actual) / prediction. The actual opening weekend gross fell within the range 50% of the time. (1 pixel = approximately $55,817)

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