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LMI Home Box Office Predictions Reviews Upcoming Featured Box Office For Monday, Oct. 9: (1) Blade Runner 2049 $4.5M   (2) LEGO Ninjago $1.9M   (3) The Golden Circle $1.4M  
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Never Back Down posterNever Back Down Opening Comparisons

Lee's Prediction: $8.866 million (3-day) 2728 theaters (marked as ).
Never Back Down weekend gross: $8.603 million (marked as ).
Also opening on Mar 14, 2008: Doomsday Horton Hears a Who
$2.525
Underclassman
Love Don't Cost...
$6.315
$7.570
Roll Bounce
Biker Boyz
$10.107
$12.605
Drumline
Illegal Tender
$1.426
Director and Actor Comparisons (3-day opening weekend, in million $)
Jeff Wadlow (dir) Kick-Ass 2 ($13.333), Cry Wolf ($4.428)
Djimon Hounsou: Legend of the Sword ($15.371), The Vatican Tapes ($0.832), Baggage Claim ($9.031)
Selected By Weekend By Gross By Theaters By Average
 Title Release First Weekend Theaters Adjusted* Adj. Avg.**
 Never Back Down2008 Mar 14$8,603,1952729$8,603,195$3,153
 Illegal Tender 2007 Aug 24 $1,425,915 512 $1,488,092 $2,906
 Underclassman 2005 Sep 2 $2,525,364 1132 $2,828,723 $2,499
 Love Don't Cost... 2003 Dec 12 $6,315,000 1844 $7,519,353 $4,078
 Roll Bounce 2005 Sep 23 $7,570,366 1625 $8,479,755 $5,218
 Biker Boyz 2003 Jan 31 $10,107,000 1766 $12,034,537 $6,815
 Drumline 2002 Dec 13 $12,605,000 1836 $15,604,121 $8,499
 Step Up 2 the Streets 2008 Feb 14 $18,908,826 2470 $18,908,826 $7,655
 Step Up 2006 Aug 11 $20,660,000 2467 $22,647,145 $9,180
 Stomp the Yard 2007 Jan 12 $21,832,895 2051 $22,784,911 $11,109
* adjusted for ticket prices (calculated in 2008 dollars) ** adjusted per theater gross ("crowdedness")
Other Box Office Open Comparisons
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About Box Office Comparisons
The box office line represents the potential extremes for 's opening weekend gross. The red notch is Lee's prediction. The red range around Lee's prediction represents the median average percent off of 500+ opening weekend predictions using abs(prediction - actual) / prediction. The actual opening weekend gross fell within the range 50% of the time. (1 pixel = approximately $22,358)

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