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LMI Home Box Office Predictions Reviews Upcoming Featured Box Office For Friday, Oct. 20: (1) Boo 2! $7.5M   (2) Geostorm $4.3M   (3) Death Day $3M  
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Run, Fat Boy, Run posterRun, Fat Boy, Run Opening Comparisons

Lee's Prediction: $4.022 million (3-day) 1133 theaters (marked as ).
Run, Fat Boy, Run weekend gross: $2.341 million (marked as ).
Also opening on Mar 28, 2008: 21 Stop Loss Superhero!
$3.331
Shaun of the Dead
Hot Fuzz
$5.848
$7.045
The Ringer
Balls of Fury
$11.605
$12.221
Beverly Hills Ninja
Bubble Boy
$2.038
Director and Actor Comparisons (3-day opening weekend, in million $)
David Schwimmer (dir) Trust ($0.058)
Simon Pegg: Star Trek Beyond ($59.253), Ice Age 5 ($21.373), Rogue Nation ($55.520)
Hank Azaria: Happy Feet Two ($21.237), The Smurfs ($35.612), Love and Other Drugs ($9.739)
Selected By Weekend By Gross By Theaters By Average
 Title Release First Weekend Theaters Adjusted* Adj. Avg.**
 Run, Fat Boy, Run2008 Mar 28$2,340,7431133$2,340,743$2,066
 Bubble Boy 2001 Aug 24 $2,038,349 1605 $2,590,327 $1,614
 Shaun of the Dead 2004 Sep 24 $3,331,000 607 $3,845,109 $6,335
 Hot Fuzz 2007 Apr 20 $5,848,464 825 $6,103,484 $7,398
 The Ringer 2005 Dec 23 $7,045,308 1829 $7,891,624 $4,315
 The Replacements 2000 Aug 11 $11,039,214 2754 $14,705,298 $5,340
 Balls of Fury 2007 Aug 29 $11,604,795 3052 $12,110,818 $3,968
 Beverly Hills Ninja 1997 Jan 17 $12,220,920 2112 $19,116,820 $9,052
* adjusted for ticket prices (calculated in 2008 dollars) ** adjusted per theater gross ("crowdedness")
Other Box Office Open Comparisons
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About Box Office Comparisons
The box office line represents the potential extremes for 's opening weekend gross. The red notch is Lee's prediction. The red range around Lee's prediction represents the median average percent off of 500+ opening weekend predictions using abs(prediction - actual) / prediction. The actual opening weekend gross fell within the range 50% of the time. (1 pixel = approximately $20,365)

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