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LMI Home Box Office Predictions Reviews Upcoming Featured Box Office For Monday, Oct. 9: (1) Blade Runner 2049 $4.5M   (2) LEGO Ninjago $1.9M   (3) The Golden Circle $1.4M  
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Prince Caspian posterPrince Caspian Opening Comparisons

Lee's Prediction: $79.169 million (3-day) 3929 theaters (marked as ).
Prince Caspian weekend gross: $55.035 million (marked as ).
$47.211
Fellowship of the Ring
Chronicles of Narnia
$65.556
$72.630
Return of the King
Chamber of Secrets
$88.357
$102.335
Goblet of Fire
The Golden Compass
$25.783
Director and Actor Comparisons (3-day opening weekend, in million $)
Selected By Weekend By Gross By Theaters By Average
 Title Release First Weekend Theaters Adjusted* Adj. Avg.**
 Prince Caspian2008 May 16$55,034,8053929$55,034,805$14,007
 Indian in Cupboard 1995 Jul 14 $7,715,594 1723 $12,735,164 $7,391
 Zathura 2005 Nov 11 $13,427,872 3223 $15,040,893 $4,667
 The Spiderwick Chronicles 2008 Feb 14 $19,004,058 3847 $19,004,058 $4,940
 Guide to the Galaxy 2005 Apr 29 $21,103,000 3133 $23,637,994 $7,545
 Bridge to Terabithia 2007 Feb 16 $22,566,271 3139 $23,550,265 $7,502
 The Polar Express 2004 Nov 10 $23,323,000 3650 $26,922,691 $7,376
 The Golden Compass 2007 Dec 7 $25,783,232 3528 $26,907,501 $7,627
 Scooby-Doo 2 2004 Mar 26 $29,438,000 3312 $33,981,486 $10,260
 Fellowship of the Ring 2001 Dec 19 $47,211,490 3359 $59,996,194 $17,861
 Scooby-Doo 2002 Jun 14 $54,155,312 3447 $67,040,541 $19,449
 The Two Towers 2002 Dec 18 $62,007,528 3622 $76,761,043 $21,193
 Chronicles of Narnia 2005 Dec 9 $65,556,312 3616 $73,431,251 $20,307
 The Mummy Returns 2001 May 4 $68,139,035 3401 $86,590,844 $25,460
 Return of the King 2003 Dec 17 $72,629,713 3703 $86,481,151 $23,354
 Order of the Phoenix 2007 Jul 11 $77,108,414 4285 $80,470,699 $18,780
 Chamber of Secrets 2002 Nov 15 $88,357,488 3682 $109,380,477 $29,707
 Harry Potter 2001 Nov 16 $90,294,621 3672 $114,746,085 $31,249
 Prisoner of Azkaban 2004 Jun 4 $93,687,367 3855 $108,147,154 $28,054
 Goblet of Fire 2005 Nov 18 $102,335,066 3858 $114,628,046 $29,712
* adjusted for ticket prices (calculated in 2008 dollars) ** adjusted per theater gross ("crowdedness")
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About Box Office Comparisons
The box office line represents the potential extremes for 's opening weekend gross. The red notch is Lee's prediction. The red range around Lee's prediction represents the median average percent off of 500+ opening weekend predictions using abs(prediction - actual) / prediction. The actual opening weekend gross fell within the range 50% of the time. (1 pixel = approximately $153,104)

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