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LMI Home Box Office Predictions Reviews Upcoming Featured Box Office For Monday, Oct. 9: (1) Blade Runner 2049 $4.5M   (2) LEGO Ninjago $1.9M   (3) The Golden Circle $1.4M  
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The Dark Knight posterThe Dark Knight Opening Comparisons

Lee's Prediction: $146.378 million (3-day) an est. 4350 theaters (marked as ).
The Dark Knight weekend gross: $158.411 million (marked as ).
Also opening on Jul 18, 2008: Mamma Mia!
$48.745
Batman Begins
Indiana Jones 4
$100.138
$108.436
Revenge of the Sith
Pirates of Caribbean 2
$135.635
$151.117
Spider-Man 3
Batman
$40.506
Director and Actor Comparisons (3-day opening weekend, in million $)
Selected By Weekend By Gross By Theaters By Average
 Title Release First Weekend Theaters Adjusted* Adj. Avg.**
 The Dark Knight2008 Jul 18$158,411,4834366$158,411,483$36,283
 Batman 1989 Jun 23 $40,505,884 2194 $72,890,287 $33,223
 Batman & Robin 1997 Jun 27 $42,872,605 2934 $67,064,336 $22,858
 Batman Returns 1992 Jun 19 $45,687,710 2644 $79,045,243 $29,896
 Batman Begins 2005 Jun 15 $48,745,440 3858 $54,600,976 $14,153
 Batman Forever 1995 Jun 16 $52,784,433 2842 $87,124,650 $30,656
 X-Men 2000 Jul 14 $54,471,475 3025 $72,561,260 $23,987
 Hannibal 2001 Feb 9 $58,003,121 3230 $73,710,161 $22,820
 The Phantom Menace 1999 May 19 $64,810,970 2970 $91,964,973 $30,965
 Attack of the Clones 2002 May 16 $80,027,814 3161 $99,068,915 $31,341
 X2 2003 May 2 $85,558,731 3741 $101,875,902 $27,232
 Spider-Man 2 2004 Jun 30 $88,156,227 4152 $101,762,333 $24,509
 The Matrix Reloaded 2003 May 15 $91,774,413 3603 $109,276,996 $30,329
 Indiana Jones 4 2008 May 22 $100,137,835 4260 $100,137,835 $23,507
 X3 2006 May 26 $102,750,665 3690 $112,633,553 $30,524
 Revenge of the Sith 2005 May 19 $108,435,841 3661 $121,461,675 $33,177
 Pirates...Caribbean 3 2007 May 25 $114,732,820 4362 $119,735,705 $27,450
 Spider-Man 2002 May 3 $114,844,116 3615 $142,169,095 $39,328
 Pirates of Caribbean 2 2006 Jul 7 $135,634,554 4133 $148,680,320 $35,974
 Spider-Man 3 2007 May 4 $151,116,516 4252 $157,705,899 $37,090
* adjusted for ticket prices (calculated in 2008 dollars) ** adjusted per theater gross ("crowdedness")
Other Box Office Open Comparisons
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About Box Office Comparisons
The box office line represents the potential extremes for 's opening weekend gross. The red notch is Lee's prediction. The red range around Lee's prediction represents the median average percent off of 500+ opening weekend predictions using abs(prediction - actual) / prediction. The actual opening weekend gross fell within the range 50% of the time. (1 pixel = approximately $221,221)

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