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LMI Home Box Office Predictions Reviews Upcoming Featured Box Office For Monday, Oct. 9: (1) Blade Runner 2049 $4.5M   (2) LEGO Ninjago $1.9M   (3) The Golden Circle $1.4M  
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Mother of Tears
Blade Runner 2049
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Traitor posterTraitor Opening Comparisons

Lee's Prediction: $6.568 million (3-day) 1850 theaters (marked as ).
Traitor weekend gross: $7.868 million (marked as ).
$4.060
Rendition
Lions for Lambs
$6.702
$8.648
Blood Diamond
Constant Gardener
$8.674
$11.737
Syriana
Beyond Borders
$2.076
Director and Actor Comparisons (3-day opening weekend, in million $)
Jeffrey Nachmanoff (dir)
Guy Pearce: Alien: Covenant ($36.161), Genius ($0.007), Results ($0.019)
Neal McDonough: Street Fighter 2 ($4.721), The Hitcher ($7.818), The Guardian ($18.006)
Selected By Weekend By Gross By Theaters By Average
 Title Release First Weekend Theaters Adjusted* Adj. Avg.**
 Traitor2008 Aug 27$7,868,4652054$7,868,465$3,831
 The Lookout 2007 Mar 30 $2,017,795 955 $2,105,780 $2,205
 Catch a Fire 2006 Oct 27 $2,026,665 1305 $2,221,596 $1,702
 Beyond Borders 2003 Oct 24 $2,076,402 1798 $2,472,399 $1,375
 A Mighty Heart 2007 Jun 22 $3,948,863 1355 $4,121,052 $3,041
 Rendition 2007 Oct 19 $4,060,012 2250 $4,237,047 $1,883
 Stop Loss 2008 Mar 28 $4,555,117 1291 $4,555,117 $3,528
 True Crime 1999 Mar 21 $5,276,109 1852 $7,486,653 $4,042
 Babel 2006 Oct 27 $5,558,193 1251 $6,092,798 $4,870
 Freedomland 2006 Feb 17 $5,833,562 2361 $6,394,653 $2,708
 Paparazzi 2004 Sep 3 $6,146,262 2115 $7,094,881 $3,355
 Lions for Lambs 2007 Nov 9 $6,702,434 2215 $6,994,691 $3,158
 Blood Work 2002 Aug 9 $7,312,000 2525 $9,051,752 $3,585
 Red Corner 1997 Oct 31 $7,403,362 2244 $11,580,858 $5,161
 Heist 2001 Nov 9 $7,823,521 1891 $9,942,103 $5,258
 Blood Diamond 2006 Dec 8 $8,648,324 1910 $9,480,148 $4,963
 Constant Gardener 2005 Aug 31 $8,673,803 1346 $9,715,742 $7,218
 Crash 2005 May 6 $9,107,071 1864 $10,201,056 $5,473
 The Good Shepherd 2006 Dec 22 $9,912,125 2215 $10,865,505 $4,905
 Michael Clayton 2007 Oct 5 $10,373,422 2511 $10,825,751 $4,311
 Breach 2007 Feb 16 $10,504,990 1489 $10,963,056 $7,363
 15 Minutes 2001 Mar 9 $10,747,863 2337 $13,658,346 $5,844
 Thirteen Days 2001 Jan 12 $11,283,041 2029 $14,338,449 $7,067
 Syriana 2005 Nov 23 $11,736,648 1752 $13,146,511 $7,504
 The Brave One 2007 Sep 14 $13,471,488 2755 $14,058,908 $5,103
 High Crimes 2002 Apr 5 $14,005,550 2717 $17,337,905 $6,381
 The Sentinel 2006 Apr 21 $14,367,854 2822 $15,749,800 $5,581
 A Civil Action 1998 Jan 8 $15,163,484 1802 $23,214,033 $12,882
 The Jackal 1997 Nov 14 $15,164,595 2193 $23,721,523 $10,817
 Three Kings 1999 Oct 1 $15,847,636 2942 $22,487,357 $7,644
 The Saint 1997 Apr 4 $16,278,873 2307 $25,464,555 $11,038
 The Recruit 2003 Jan 31 $16,302,063 2376 $19,411,080 $8,170
 John Q 2002 Feb 15 $20,275,194 2466 $25,099,292 $10,178
 Insomnia 2002 May 24 $21,010,000 2610 $26,008,931 $9,965
 The Interpreter 2005 Apr 22 $22,822,455 2758 $25,563,998 $9,269
 Vantage Point 2008 Feb 22 $22,874,936 3149 $22,874,936 $7,264
* adjusted for ticket prices (calculated in 2008 dollars) ** adjusted per theater gross ("crowdedness")
Other Box Office Open Comparisons
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About Box Office Comparisons
The box office line represents the potential extremes for 's opening weekend gross. The red notch is Lee's prediction. The red range around Lee's prediction represents the median average percent off of 500+ opening weekend predictions using abs(prediction - actual) / prediction. The actual opening weekend gross fell within the range 50% of the time. (1 pixel = approximately $19,320)

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