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Nights in Rodanthe posterNights in Rodanthe Opening Comparisons

Lee's Prediction: $15.480 million (3-day) 2704 theaters (marked as ).
Nights in Rodanthe weekend gross: $13.418 million (marked as ).
Also opening on Sep 26, 2008: Eagle Eye Miracle at St. Anna
$10.987
Autumn in N.Y.
The Notebook
$13.465
$13.616
The Lake House
City of Angels
$15.369
$16.710
Message in a Bottle
Tuscan Sun
$9.751
Director and Actor Comparisons (3-day opening weekend, in million $)
Selected By Weekend By Gross By Theaters By Average
 Title Release First Weekend Theaters Adjusted* Adj. Avg.**
 Nights in Rodanthe2008 Sep 26$13,418,4542704$13,418,454$4,962
 Unfinished Life 2005 Sep 9 $1,008,308 139 $1,129,431 $8,125
 Moonlight Mile 2002 Sep 27 $1,883,126 434 $2,331,180 $5,371
 Evening 2007 Jun 29 $3,501,971 977 $3,654,673 $3,741
 Dr. T and the Women 2000 Oct 13 $5,311,263 1489 $7,075,115 $4,752
 Reign Over Me 2007 Mar 23 $7,460,690 1671 $7,786,011 $4,659
 Sommersby 1993 Feb 5 $8,105,120 1432 $14,056,706 $9,816
 The Other Boleyn Girl 2008 Feb 29 $8,203,061 1166 $8,203,061 $7,035
 A Walk in the Clouds 1995 Aug 11 $9,526,010 1534 $15,723,391 $10,250
 The Story of Us 1999 Oct 15 $9,673,080 2164 $13,725,833 $6,343
 Great Expectations 1998 Jan 30 $9,749,850 1866 $14,926,210 $7,999
 Tuscan Sun 2003 Sep 26 $9,751,000 1226 $11,610,643 $9,470
 The Family Man 2000 Dec 22 $10,342,428 2388 $13,777,112 $5,769
 Autumn in N.Y. 2000 Aug 11 $10,987,006 2255 $14,635,752 $6,490
 Up Close & Personal 1996 Mar 1 $11,102,232 1506 $18,034,847 $11,975
 Bounce 2000 Nov 15 $11,423,716 1918 $15,217,492 $7,934
 No Reservations 2007 Jul 27 $11,704,357 2425 $12,214,721 $5,037
 Shall We Dance? 2004 Oct 15 $11,783,000 1772 $13,601,598 $7,676
 Must Love Dogs 2005 Jul 29 $12,855,000 2505 $14,399,204 $5,748
 Far and Away 1992 May 22 $12,948,940 1583 $22,403,226 $14,152
 Practical Magic 1998 Oct 16 $13,100,104 2652 $20,055,170 $7,562
 The Notebook 2004 Jun 25 $13,465,000 2303 $15,543,199 $6,749
 The Lake House 2006 Jun 16 $13,616,196 2645 $14,925,845 $5,643
 The Horse Whisperer 1998 May 15 $13,685,488 2039 $20,951,344 $10,275
 Hope Floats 1998 May 29 $14,210,464 2367 $21,755,039 $9,191
 Cold Mountain 2003 Dec 25 $14,574,213 2163 $17,353,706 $8,023
 City of Angels 1998 Apr 10 $15,369,048 2212 $23,528,734 $10,637
 6 Days, 7 Nights 1998 Jun 12 $16,485,276 2550 $25,237,587 $9,897
 Message in a Bottle 1999 Feb 12 $16,710,192 2538 $23,711,300 $9,343
 Stepmom 1998 Dec 25 $19,142,440 2358 $29,305,484 $12,428
 Pursuit of Happyness 2006 Dec 15 $26,540,712 2852 $29,093,483 $10,201
* adjusted for ticket prices (calculated in 2008 dollars) ** adjusted per theater gross ("crowdedness")
Other Box Office Open Comparisons
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About Box Office Comparisons
The box office line represents the potential extremes for 's opening weekend gross. The red notch is Lee's prediction. The red range around Lee's prediction represents the median average percent off of 500+ opening weekend predictions using abs(prediction - actual) / prediction. The actual opening weekend gross fell within the range 50% of the time. (1 pixel = approximately $13,918)

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