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LMI Home Box Office Predictions Reviews Upcoming Featured Box Office For Monday, Oct. 9: (1) Blade Runner 2049 $4.5M   (2) LEGO Ninjago $1.9M   (3) The Golden Circle $1.4M  
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Twilight posterTwilight Opening Comparisons

Lee's Prediction: $65.474 million (3-day) 3419 theaters (marked as ).
Twilight weekend gross: $69.638 million (marked as ).
Also opening on Nov 21, 2008: Bolt
$11.774
The Crow
Bram Stoker's Dracula
$30.522
$36.390
Interview with the Vampire
Order of the Phoenix
$77.108
$90.295
Harry Potter
Romeo + Juliet
$11.133
Director and Actor Comparisons (3-day opening weekend, in million $)
Selected By Weekend By Gross By Theaters By Average
 Title Release First Weekend Theaters Adjusted* Adj. Avg.**
 Twilight2008 Nov 21$69,637,7403419$69,637,740$20,368
 Buffy the Vampire Slayer 1992 Jul 31 $4,515,495 1959 $7,812,350 $3,988
 Romeo + Juliet 1996 Nov 1 $11,133,231 1276 $18,085,203 $14,173
 The Crow 1994 May 11 $11,774,332 1573 $20,720,516 $13,173
 The Messengers 2007 Feb 2 $14,713,321 2528 $15,354,890 $6,074
 Boogeyman 2005 Feb 4 $19,021,000 3052 $21,305,894 $6,981
 Underworld 2003 Sep 19 $21,754,000 2915 $25,902,773 $8,886
 Eragon 2006 Dec 15 $23,239,907 3020 $25,475,196 $8,435
 Underworld 2 2006 Jan 20 $26,857,181 3207 $29,440,391 $9,180
 The X-Files 1998 Jun 19 $30,138,758 2629 $46,139,932 $17,550
 Bram Stoker's Dracula 1992 Nov 13 $30,521,679 2491 $52,806,182 $21,199
 Interview with the Vampire 1994 Nov 11 $36,389,705 2604 $64,038,746 $24,592
 Chronicles of Narnia 2005 Dec 9 $65,556,312 3616 $73,431,251 $20,307
 Order of the Phoenix 2007 Jul 11 $77,108,414 4285 $80,470,699 $18,780
 Chamber of Secrets 2002 Nov 15 $88,357,488 3682 $109,380,477 $29,707
 Harry Potter 2001 Nov 16 $90,294,621 3672 $114,746,085 $31,249
 Prisoner of Azkaban 2004 Jun 4 $93,687,367 3855 $108,147,154 $28,054
 Goblet of Fire 2005 Nov 18 $102,335,066 3858 $114,628,046 $29,712
* adjusted for ticket prices (calculated in 2008 dollars) ** adjusted per theater gross ("crowdedness")
Other Box Office Open Comparisons
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About Box Office Comparisons
The box office line represents the potential extremes for 's opening weekend gross. The red notch is Lee's prediction. The red range around Lee's prediction represents the median average percent off of 500+ opening weekend predictions using abs(prediction - actual) / prediction. The actual opening weekend gross fell within the range 50% of the time. (1 pixel = approximately $158,323)

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