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LMI Home Box Office Predictions Reviews Upcoming Featured Box Office For Friday, Oct. 20: (1) Boo 2! $7.5M   (2) Geostorm $4.3M   (3) Death Day $3M  
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Paul Blart: Mall Cop posterPaul Blart: Mall Cop Opening Comparisons

Lee's Prediction: $14.305 million (3-day) 3144 theaters (marked as ).
Paul Blart: Mall Cop weekend estimate: $33.800 million (marked as ).
Also opening on Jan 16, 2009: My Bloody Valentine
$6.019
Bio-Dome
Joe Dirt
$7.874
$14.370
National Security
The Pacifier
$30.553
$34.234
Chuck and Larry
The Cleaner
$4.244
Director and Actor Comparisons (3-day opening weekend, in million $)
Steve Carr (dir) Middle School ($6.878), Are We Done Yet? ($14.263), Rebound ($5.034)
Kevin James: Hotel Transylvania 2 ($48.464), Little Boy ($2.750), Paul Blart 2 ($23.762)
Jayma Mays: Epic Movie ($18.613)
Selected By Weekend By Gross By Theaters By Average
 Title Release First Weekend Theaters Adjusted* Adj. Avg.**
 Paul Blart: Mall Cop2009 Jan 16$33,800,0003144$33,800,000$10,751
 Delta Farce 2007 May 11 $3,420,645 1931 $3,728,901 $1,931
 The Man 2005 Sep 9 $4,065,014 2040 $4,756,257 $2,331
 The Cleaner 2007 Jan 5 $4,244,142 1736 $4,626,608 $2,665
 Bio-Dome 1996 Jan 12 $6,018,860 1510 $10,212,998 $6,764
 Stealing Harvard 2002 Sep 13 $6,041,000 2366 $7,811,638 $3,302
 Dickie Roberts 2003 Sep 5 $6,661,000 2026 $8,284,826 $4,089
 Joe Dirt 2001 Apr 15 $7,874,430 2638 $10,452,783 $3,962
 Corky Romano 2001 Oct 12 $9,023,173 2062 $11,977,663 $5,809
 Drillbit Taylor 2008 Mar 21 $10,309,986 3056 $10,769,484 $3,524
 Employee of the Month 2006 Oct 6 $11,407,751 2579 $13,062,310 $5,065
 National Security 2003 Jan 17 $14,370,000 2729 $17,873,134 $6,549
 The Pacifier 2005 Mar 4 $30,552,694 3131 $35,748,082 $11,417
 Chuck and Larry 2007 Jul 20 $34,233,750 3495 $37,318,768 $10,678
* adjusted for ticket prices (calculated in 2009 dollars) ** adjusted per theater gross ("crowdedness")
Other Box Office Open Comparisons
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About Box Office Comparisons
The box office line represents the potential extremes for 's opening weekend gross. The red notch is Lee's prediction. The red range around Lee's prediction represents the median average percent off of 500+ opening weekend predictions using abs(prediction - actual) / prediction. The actual opening weekend gross fell within the range 50% of the time. (1 pixel = approximately $59,979)

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