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LMI Home Box Office Predictions Reviews Upcoming Featured Box Office For Monday, May. 20: (1) Star Trek Into Darkness $8M   (2) Iron Man 3 $3.2M   (3) The Great Gatsby $2.7M  
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Paul Blart: Mall Cop posterPaul Blart: Mall Cop Opening Comparisons

Lee's Prediction: $14.305 million (3-day) 3144 theaters (marked as ).
Paul Blart: Mall Cop weekend estimate: $33.800 million (marked as ).
Also opening on Jan 16, 2009: My Bloody Valentine
$6.019
Bio-Dome
Joe Dirt
$7.874
$14.370
National Security
The Pacifier
$30.553
$34.234
Chuck and Larry
The Cleaner
$4.244
Director and Actor Comparisons (3-day opening weekend, in million $)
Steve Carr (dir) Are We Done Yet? ($14.263), Rebound ($5.034), Daddy Day Care ($27.624)
Kevin James: Here Comes the Boom ($11.817), Hotel Transylvania ($42.522), Zookeeper ($21.000)
Jayma Mays: Epic Movie ($18.613)
Selected By Weekend By Gross By Theaters By Average
 Title Release First Weekend Theaters Adjusted* Adj. Avg.**
 Paul Blart: Mall Cop2009 Jan 16$33,800,0003144$33,800,000$10,751
 Cloverfield 2008 Jan 18 $40,058,229 3411 $41,843,554 $12,267
 Underworld 2 2006 Jan 20 $26,857,181 3207 $30,752,497 $9,589
 27 Dresses 2008 Jan 18 $23,007,725 3057 $24,033,139 $7,862
 Are We There Yet 2005 Jan 21 $18,575,000 2709 $21,733,619 $8,023
 The Hitcher 2007 Jan 19 $7,818,239 2835 $8,522,790 $3,006
 Mad Money 2008 Jan 18 $7,736,452 2470 $8,081,252 $3,272
 End of the Spear 2006 Jan 20 $4,281,388 1162 $4,902,353 $4,219
 Looking for Comedy... 2006 Jan 20 $429,223 161 $491,477 $3,053
 Why We Fight 2006 Jan 20 $53,571 6 $61,341 $10,223
 Little Chenier 2008 Jan 18 $41,000 18 $42,827 $2,379
 The Italian 2007 Jan 19 $23,290 4 $25,389 $6,347
 Teeth 2008 Jan 18 $14,786 9 $15,445 $1,716
 Beautiful Boxer 2005 Jan 21 $8,713 2 $10,195 $5,097
 Cassandra's Dream 2008 Jan 18 $7,492 5 $7,826 $1,565
 Beaufort 2008 Jan 18 $6,506 2 $6,796 $3,398
 Watermarks 2005 Jan 21 $4,837 1 $5,660 $5,660
 Summer Palace 2008 Jan 18 $2,880 3 $3,008 $1,003
 Gory Gory Hallelujah 2005 Jan 21 $2,360 1 $2,761 $2,761
 The Witnesses 2008 Jan 18 $1,793 1 $1,873 $1,873
 Monsieur N. 2005 Jan 21 $1,747 1 $2,044 $2,044
 Still Life 2008 Jan 18 $1,119 1 $1,169 $1,169
 She's One of Us 2005 Jan 21 $996 1 $1,165 $1,165
 With God on our Side 2005 Jan 21 $563 1 $659 $659
* adjusted for ticket prices (calculated in 2009 dollars) ** adjusted per theater gross ("crowdedness")
Other Box Office Open Comparisons
World War Z Monsters University This Is the End The Hangover Part III Fast & Furious 6 Star Trek Into Darkness The Great Gatsby Iron Man 3 The Big Wedding Pain & Gain Oblivion Scary Movie 5 42 Evil Dead (2013) Tyler Perry's Temptation G.I. Joe 2: Retaliation Olympus Has Fallen Admission The Expendables 2 The Campaign

About Box Office Comparisons
The box office line represents the potential extremes for 's opening weekend gross. The red notch is Lee's prediction. The red range around Lee's prediction represents the median average percent off of 500+ opening weekend predictions using abs(prediction - actual) / prediction. The actual opening weekend gross fell within the range 50% of the time. (1 pixel = approximately $59,979)
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