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LMI Home Box Office Predictions Reviews Upcoming Featured Box Office For Monday, Oct. 9: (1) Blade Runner 2049 $4.5M   (2) LEGO Ninjago $1.9M   (3) The Golden Circle $1.4M  
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Taken posterTaken Opening Comparisons

Lee's Prediction: $15.756 million (3-day) 3183 theaters (marked as ).
Taken weekend gross: $24.717 million (marked as ).
Also opening on Jan 30, 2009: The Uninvited
$13.471
The Brave One
The Game
$14.337
$15.055
Collateral Damage
Don't Say A Word
$17.090
$22.751
Man on Fire
A History of Violence
$8.099
Director and Actor Comparisons (3-day opening weekend, in million $)
Pierre Morel (dir) The Gunman ($5.029), From Paris with Love ($8.120), District B-13 ($0.412)
Liam Neeson: Silence ($0.131), Run All Night ($11.012), Taken 3 ($39.202)
Maggie Grace: Taken 3 ($39.202), Breaking Dawn - Part 2 ($141.068), Taken II ($49.515)
Selected By Weekend By Gross By Theaters By Average
 Title Release First Weekend Theaters Adjusted* Adj. Avg.**
 Taken2009 Jan 30$24,717,0373183$24,717,037$7,765
 Trapped 2002 Sep 20 $3,211,000 2227 $4,152,155 $1,864
 Death Sentence 2007 Aug 31 $4,180,000 1822 $4,556,686 $2,501
 A History of Violence 2005 Sep 23 $8,098,960 1340 $9,476,162 $7,072
 The Brave One 2007 Sep 14 $13,471,488 2755 $14,685,488 $5,330
 Domestic Disturbance 2001 Nov 2 $14,033,112 2910 $18,628,025 $6,401
 The Game 1997 Sep 12 $14,337,029 2403 $23,426,518 $9,749
 Collateral Damage 2002 Feb 8 $15,054,744 2824 $19,467,341 $6,894
 Don't Say A Word 2001 Sep 28 $17,090,474 2802 $22,686,470 $8,097
 The Forgotten 2004 Sep 24 $21,022,000 3104 $25,348,071 $8,166
 Man on Fire 2004 Apr 23 $22,751,000 2980 $27,432,878 $9,206
 Panic Room 2002 Mar 29 $30,056,751 3053 $38,866,488 $12,731
 Ransom 1996 Nov 8 $34,216,088 2676 $58,058,973 $21,696
* adjusted for ticket prices (calculated in 2009 dollars) ** adjusted per theater gross ("crowdedness")
Other Box Office Open Comparisons
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About Box Office Comparisons
The box office line represents the potential extremes for 's opening weekend gross. The red notch is Lee's prediction. The red range around Lee's prediction represents the median average percent off of 500+ opening weekend predictions using abs(prediction - actual) / prediction. The actual opening weekend gross fell within the range 50% of the time. (1 pixel = approximately $29,304)

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