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LMI Home Box Office Predictions Reviews Upcoming Featured Box Office For Friday, Oct. 20: (1) Boo 2! $7.5M   (2) Geostorm $4.3M   (3) Death Day $3M  
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Marie Antoinette posterMarie Antoinette Opening Comparisons

Lee's Prediction: $4.934 million (3-day) 859 theaters (marked as ).
Marie Antoinette weekend gross: $5.361 million (marked as ).
Also opening on Oct 20, 2006: Flags of Our Fathers Flicka The Prestige
$4.834
Vanity Fair
Ever After
$8.527
$9.497
Gangs of New York
Mona Lisa Smile
$11.528
$16.511
A Knight's Tale
The Libertine
$2.203
Director and Actor Comparisons (3-day opening weekend, in million $)
Sofia Coppola (dir) The Beguiled ($0.241), The Bling Ring ($0.213), Somewhere ($0.142)
Kirsten Dunst: The Beguiled ($0.241), Hidden Figures ($0.516), Midnight Special ($1.130)
Jason Schwartzman: The Overnight ($0.326), Big Eyes ($3.002), Listen Up Philip ($0.024)
Selected By Weekend By Gross By Theaters By Average
 Title Release First Weekend Theaters Adjusted* Adj. Avg.**
 Marie Antoinette2006 Oct 20$5,361,050859$5,361,050$6,241
 The Libertine 2006 Mar 10 $2,202,799 815 $2,202,799 $2,703
 Vanity Fair 2004 Sep 1 $4,833,900 1051 $5,090,361 $4,843
 Ever After 1998 Jul 29 $8,526,904 1767 $11,908,576 $6,739
 Gangs of New York 2002 Dec 20 $9,496,870 1504 $10,724,914 $7,131
 Mona Lisa Smile 2003 Dec 19 $11,528,498 2677 $12,522,664 $4,678
 A Knight's Tale 2001 May 11 $16,511,391 2980 $19,141,524 $6,423
* adjusted for ticket prices (calculated in 2006 dollars) ** adjusted per theater gross ("crowdedness")
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About Box Office Comparisons
The box office line represents the potential extremes for 's opening weekend gross. The red notch is Lee's prediction. The red range around Lee's prediction represents the median average percent off of 500+ opening weekend predictions using abs(prediction - actual) / prediction. The actual opening weekend gross fell within the range 50% of the time. (1 pixel = approximately $28,617)

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