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LMI Home Box Office Predictions Reviews Upcoming Featured Box Office For Sunday, Dec. 3: (1) Coco $9.4M   (2) Justice League $4.7M   (3) Wonder $3.4M  
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State of Play posterState of Play Opening Comparisons

Lee's Prediction: $11.632 million (3-day) 2803 theaters (marked as ).
State of Play weekend gross: $14.071 million (marked as ).
Also opening on Apr 17, 2009: 17 Again Crank 2
$8.935
City by the Sea
Breach
$10.505
$13.362
Cop Land
High Crimes
$14.006
$16.302
The Recruit
City Hall
$8.013
Director and Actor Comparisons (3-day opening weekend, in million $)
Kevin Macdonald (dir) Marley ($0.262), The Eagle ($8.684), Last King of Scotland ($0.143)
Ben Affleck: Justice League ($93.842), The Accountant ($24.710), Suicide Squad ($133.682)
Rachel McAdams: Doctor Strange ($85.058), Spotlight ($1.766), Southpaw ($16.701)
Selected By Weekend By Gross By Theaters By Average
 Title Release First Weekend Theaters Adjusted* Adj. Avg.**
 State of Play2009 Apr 17$14,071,2802803$14,071,280$5,020
 City Hall 1996 Feb 16 $8,013,225 1815 $13,597,101 $7,492
 Twisted 2004 Feb 27 $8,904,000 2703 $10,736,334 $3,972
 City by the Sea 2002 Sep 6 $8,935,000 2575 $11,553,879 $4,487
 Breach 2007 Feb 16 $10,504,990 1489 $11,451,661 $7,691
 Cop Land 1997 Aug 15 $13,362,272 2233 $21,833,778 $9,778
 Paycheck 2003 Dec 25 $13,462,000 2762 $16,743,781 $6,062
 High Crimes 2002 Apr 5 $14,005,550 2717 $18,110,625 $6,666
 The Recruit 2003 Jan 31 $16,302,063 2376 $20,276,198 $8,534
 Absolute Power 1997 Feb 14 $16,770,220 2568 $27,402,320 $10,671
 Changing Lanes 2002 Apr 12 $17,128,062 2613 $22,148,356 $8,476
* adjusted for ticket prices (calculated in 2009 dollars) ** adjusted per theater gross ("crowdedness")
Other Box Office Open Comparisons
CHIPS Inferno The Accountant Mechanic: Resurrection Suicide Squad Bad Moms Jason Bourne Mike and Dave... Central Intelligence Warcraft Ninja Turtles 2 Popstar The Nice Guys Neighbors 2 Search Party Civil War Mother's Day The Boss Batman v Superman The Brothers Grimsby

About Box Office Comparisons
The box office line represents the potential extremes for 's opening weekend gross. The red notch is Lee's prediction. The red range around Lee's prediction represents the median average percent off of 500+ opening weekend predictions using abs(prediction - actual) / prediction. The actual opening weekend gross fell within the range 50% of the time. (1 pixel = approximately $16,578)

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