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LMI Home Box Office Predictions Reviews Upcoming Featured Box Office For Friday, Oct. 20: (1) Boo 2! $7.5M   (2) Geostorm $4.3M   (3) Death Day $3M  
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Half-Blood Prince posterHalf-Blood Prince Opening Comparisons


Half-Blood Prince weekend gross: $77.836 million (marked as ).
$77.108
Order of the Phoenix
Chamber of Secrets
$88.357
$90.295
Harry Potter
Prisoner of Azkaban
$93.687
$102.335
Goblet of Fire
Chronicles of Narnia
$65.556
Director and Actor Comparisons (3-day opening weekend, in million $)
David Yates (dir) Fantastic Beasts... ($74.403), Legend of Tarzan ($38.528), The Deathly Hallows II ($169.189)
Daniel Radcliffe: Victor Frankenstein ($2.469), Horns ($0.108), Kill Your Darlings ($0.059)
Emma Watson: The Circle ($9.034), Beauty...Beast ($174.751), Noah ($43.720)
Selected By Weekend By Gross By Theaters By Average
 Title Release First Weekend Theaters Adjusted* Adj. Avg.**
 Half-Blood Prince2009 Jul 15$77,835,7274325$77,835,727$17,997
 Prince Caspian 2008 May 16 $55,034,805 3929 $57,487,610 $14,632
 Chronicles of Narnia 2005 Dec 9 $65,556,312 3616 $76,703,953 $21,212
 Order of the Phoenix 2007 Jul 11 $77,108,414 4285 $84,057,137 $19,617
 Chamber of Secrets 2002 Nov 15 $88,357,488 3682 $114,255,372 $31,031
 Harry Potter 2001 Nov 16 $90,294,621 3672 $119,860,116 $32,642
 Prisoner of Azkaban 2004 Jun 4 $93,687,367 3855 $112,967,082 $29,304
 Goblet of Fire 2005 Nov 18 $102,335,066 3858 $119,736,817 $31,036
* adjusted for ticket prices (calculated in 2009 dollars) ** adjusted per theater gross ("crowdedness")
Other Box Office Open Comparisons
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About Box Office Comparisons
The box office line represents the potential extremes for 's opening weekend gross. The red notch is Lee's prediction. The red range around Lee's prediction represents the median average percent off of 500+ opening weekend predictions using abs(prediction - actual) / prediction. The actual opening weekend gross fell within the range 50% of the time. (1 pixel = approximately $73,558)

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