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LMI Home Box Office Predictions Reviews Upcoming Featured Box Office For Wednesday, May. 22: (1) Star Trek Into Darkness $5.3M   (2) The Great Gatsby $2.3M   (3) Iron Man 3 $2.3M  
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Catch a Fire posterCatch a Fire Opening Comparisons

Lee's Prediction: $3.798 million (3-day) 1305 theaters (marked as ).
Catch a Fire weekend gross: $2.027 million (marked as ).
Also opening on Oct 27, 2006: Babel Saw 3
$2.411
I Dreamed of Africa
Freedomland
$5.834
$7.403
Red Corner
Constant Gardener
$8.674
$18.500
Patriot Games
Beyond Borders
$2.076
Director and Actor Comparisons (3-day opening weekend, in million $)
Phillip Noyce (dir) Salt ($36.011), Rabbit-Proof Fence ($0.088), Quiet American ($0.102)
Derek Luke: Sparkle ($11.643), Seeking a Friend... ($3.823), Madea Goes to Jail ($41.031)
Tim Robbins: City of Ember ($3.129), The Lucky Ones ($0.183), Noise ($0.004)
Selected By Weekend By Gross By Theaters By Average
 Title Release First Weekend Theaters Adjusted* Adj. Avg.**
 Catch a Fire2006 Oct 27$2,026,9971306$2,026,997$1,552
 Beyond Borders 2003 Oct 24 $2,076,402 1798 $2,255,462 $1,254
 I Dreamed of Africa 2000 May 5 $2,411,445 2112 $2,930,420 $1,388
 Freedomland 2006 Feb 17 $5,833,562 2361 $5,833,562 $2,471
 Red Corner 1997 Oct 31 $7,403,362 2244 $10,564,710 $4,708
 Constant Gardener 2005 Aug 31 $8,673,803 1346 $8,863,246 $6,585
 Patriot Games 1992 Jun 5 $18,500,000 2365 $29,198,795 $12,346
* adjusted for ticket prices (calculated in 2006 dollars) ** adjusted per theater gross ("crowdedness")
Other Box Office Open Comparisons
World War Z Monsters University This Is the End The Hangover Part III Fast & Furious 6 Star Trek Into Darkness The Great Gatsby Iron Man 3 The Big Wedding Pain & Gain Oblivion Scary Movie 5 42 Evil Dead (2013) Tyler Perry's Temptation G.I. Joe 2: Retaliation Olympus Has Fallen Admission The Expendables 2 The Campaign

About Box Office Comparisons
The box office line represents the potential extremes for 's opening weekend gross. The red notch is Lee's prediction. The red range around Lee's prediction represents the median average percent off of 500+ opening weekend predictions using abs(prediction - actual) / prediction. The actual opening weekend gross fell within the range 50% of the time. (1 pixel = approximately $32,847)
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