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LMI Home Box Office Predictions Reviews Upcoming Featured Box Office For Monday, Oct. 9: (1) Blade Runner 2049 $4.5M   (2) LEGO Ninjago $1.9M   (3) The Golden Circle $1.4M  
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Year One posterYear One Opening Comparisons

Lee's Prediction: $19.190 million (3-day) 3022 theaters (marked as ).
Year One weekend gross: $19.610 million (marked as ).
Also opening on Jun 19, 2009: The Proposal
$6.842
Men in Tights
Beverly Hills Ninja
$12.221
$15.607
Shanghai Noon
Shanghai Knights
$19.604
$28.310
Nacho Libre
Almost Heroes
$2.838
Director and Actor Comparisons (3-day opening weekend, in million $)
Harold Ramis (dir) Ice Harvest ($3.741), Analyze That ($11.034), Bedazzled (2000) ($13.107)
Jack Black: Kung Fu Panda 3 ($41.282), Goosebumps ($23.619), The D Train ($0.448)
Michael Cera: Latin Lover ($12.252), Lego Batman Movie ($53.004), Crystal Fairy ($0.025)
Selected By Weekend By Gross By Theaters By Average
 Title Release First Weekend Theaters Adjusted* Adj. Avg.**
 Year One2009 Jun 19$19,610,3043022$19,610,304$6,489
 Wagons East 1994 Aug 26 $1,802,878 1771 $3,314,114 $1,871
 Almost Heroes 1998 May 29 $2,837,928 2048 $4,538,264 $2,216
 Club Dread 2004 Feb 27 $3,036,000 1807 $3,660,772 $2,026
 Men in Tights 1993 Jul 28 $6,841,830 1263 $12,394,620 $9,814
 Black Sheep (1996) 1996 Feb 2 $10,593,609 2045 $17,975,581 $8,790
 Balls of Fury 2007 Aug 29 $11,604,795 3052 $12,650,576 $4,145
 Beverly Hills Ninja 1997 Jan 17 $12,220,920 2112 $19,968,824 $9,455
 Shanghai Noon 2000 May 26 $15,607,034 2711 $21,716,652 $8,011
 Shanghai Knights 2003 Feb 7 $19,604,113 2753 $24,383,225 $8,857
 The School of Rock 2003 Oct 3 $19,622,714 2614 $24,406,361 $9,337
 Nacho Libre 2006 Jun 16 $28,309,509 3070 $32,415,468 $10,559
* adjusted for ticket prices (calculated in 2009 dollars) ** adjusted per theater gross ("crowdedness")
Other Box Office Open Comparisons
CHIPS Inferno The Accountant Mechanic: Resurrection Suicide Squad Bad Moms Jason Bourne Mike and Dave... Central Intelligence Warcraft Ninja Turtles 2 Popstar The Nice Guys Neighbors 2 Search Party Civil War Mother's Day The Boss Batman v Superman The Brothers Grimsby

About Box Office Comparisons
The box office line represents the potential extremes for 's opening weekend gross. The red notch is Lee's prediction. The red range around Lee's prediction represents the median average percent off of 500+ opening weekend predictions using abs(prediction - actual) / prediction. The actual opening weekend gross fell within the range 50% of the time. (1 pixel = approximately $50,943)

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