Twilight: New Moon Box Office Comparisons

Box Office For Monday, May. 20: (1) Star Trek Into Darkness $8M (2) Iron Man 3 $3.2M (3) The Great Gatsby $2.7M

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Twilight: New Moon Opening Comparisons

Lee's Prediction: $111.138 million (3-day) an est. 4250 theaters (marked as

).
Twilight: New Moon weekend gross: $142.839 million (marked as

Also opening on Nov 20, 2009: Planet 51 The Blind Side

$77.108

$88.357$93.687

$102.335$151.117

$69.638

Director and Actor Comparisons (3-day opening weekend, in million $)

Chris Weitz (dir) About a Boy ($8.558), Down to Earth ($17.300), American Pie ($18.710)
Kristen Stewart: Breaking Dawn - Part 2 ($141.068), Snow White...Huntsman ($56.218), Twilight: Breaking Dawn ($138.122)
Robert Pattinson: Breaking Dawn - Part 2 ($141.068), Twilight: Breaking Dawn ($138.122), Water for Elephants ($16.842)

Title	Release	First Weekend	Theaters	Adjusted*	Adj. Avg.**

Twilight: New Moon	2009 Nov 20	$142,839,137	4024	$142,839,137	$35,497
Before Devil Knows...	2007 Oct 26	$73,837	2	$80,491	$40,245
The Hunger Games	2012 Mar 23	$152,536,000	4137
The September Issue	2009 Aug 28	$220,416	6	$220,416	$36,736
The Dark Knight Rises	2012 Jul 20	$160,887,000	4404
Eastern Promises	2007 Sep 14	$547,092	15	$596,394	$39,760
The Hurt Locker	2009 Jun 26	$145,352	4	$145,352	$36,338
The Dark Knight	2008 Jul 18	$158,411,483	4366	$165,471,605	$37,900
Last King of Scotland	2006 Sep 27	$142,899	4	$163,625	$40,906
Spider-Man 3	2007 May 4	$151,116,516	4252	$164,734,574	$38,743
Twilight: New Moon	2009 Nov 20	$142,839,137	4024	$142,839,137	$35,497
Coco Before Chanel	2009 Sep 25	$177,339	5	$177,339	$35,468
Far From Heaven	2002 Nov 8	$211,278	6	$273,204	$45,534
Ararat	2002 Nov 15	$211,000	6	$272,845	$45,474
Breaking Dawn - Part 2	2012 Nov 16	$141,068,000	4070
March of the Penguins	2005 Jun 24	$137,492	4	$160,872	$40,218
21 Grams	2003 Nov 21	$274,454	8	$341,361	$42,670
Frances Ha	2013 May 17	$137,000	4
Twilight: Breaking Dawn	2011 Nov 18	$138,122,261	4061	$129,327,960	$31,846
Doubt	2008 Dec 12	$507,226	15	$529,832	$35,322
Kinsey	2004 Nov 12	$169,000	5	$203,778	$40,756
Winged Migration	2003 Apr 18	$33,000	1	$41,045	$41,045
Trainspotting	1996 Jul 21	$262,673	8	$445,712	$55,714
Pirates of Caribbean 2	2006 Jul 7	$135,634,554	4133	$155,306,741	$37,577
Trance	2013 Apr 5	$131,000	4
Away We Go	2009 Jun 5	$130,411	4	$130,411	$32,603
Rachel Getting Married	2008 Oct 3	$293,369	9	$306,444	$34,049
Squid and the Whale	2005 Oct 5	$129,844	4	$151,924	$37,981
Requiem...Dream	2000 Oct 6	$64,770	2	$90,125	$45,063
Spider-Man	2002 May 3	$114,844,116	3615	$148,505,322	$41,080
Borat	2006 Nov 3	$26,455,059	837	$30,292,052	$36,191

* adjusted for ticket prices (calculated in 2009 dollars) ** adjusted per theater gross ("crowdedness")

Other Box Office Open Comparisons
World War Z Monsters University This Is the End The Hangover Part III Fast & Furious 6 Star Trek Into Darkness The Great Gatsby Iron Man 3 The Big Wedding Pain & Gain Oblivion Scary Movie 5 42 Evil Dead (2013) Tyler Perry's Temptation G.I. Joe 2: Retaliation Olympus Has Fallen Admission The Expendables 2 The Campaign

About Box Office Comparisons
The box office line represents the potential extremes for 's opening weekend gross. The red notch is Lee's prediction. The red range around Lee's prediction represents the median average percent off of 500+ opening weekend predictions using abs(prediction - actual) / prediction. The actual opening weekend gross fell within the range 50% of the time. (1 pixel = approximately $162,958)

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