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LMI Home Box Office Predictions Reviews Upcoming Featured Box Office For Wednesday, Nov. 18: (1) 2012 $3.6M   (2) A Christmas Carol $1.1M   (3) Men Stare at Goats $0.4M  
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A Christmas Carol posterA Christmas Carol Opening Comparisons

Lee's Prediction: $44.012 million (3-day) 3683 theaters (marked as ).
A Christmas Carol weekend gross: $30.051 million (marked as ).
Also opening on Nov 06, 2009: Men Stare at Goats Precious The Box The Fourth Kind
$27.516
Beowulf
Lemony Snicket
$30.062
$34.440
Enchanted
Happy Feet
$41.533
$55.082
The Grinch
The Polar Express
$23.323
Director and Actor Comparisons (3-day opening weekend, in million $)
Robert Zemeckis (dir) Beowulf ($27.516), The Polar Express ($23.323), Cast Away ($29.720)
Jim Carrey: Yes Man ($18.262), Horton Hears a Who ($45.013), The Number 23 ($14.603)
Robin Wright Penn: State of Play ($14.071), Hounddog ($0.014), Breaking & Entering ($0.021)
Selected By Weekend By Gross By Theaters By Average
 Title Release First Weekend Theaters Adjusted* Adj. Avg.**
 A Christmas Carol2009 Nov 6$30,051,0753683$30,051,075$8,159
 The Santa Clause 1994 Nov 11 $19,321,992 2183 $34,334,422 $15,728
 The Santa Clause 3 2006 Nov 3 $19,503,120 3458 $21,587,423 $6,243
 The Polar Express 2004 Nov 10 $23,323,000 3650 $27,185,169 $7,448
 Beowulf 2007 Nov 16 $27,515,871 3153 $28,995,649 $9,196
 The Santa Clause 2 2002 Nov 1 $29,009,000 3350 $36,261,250 $10,824
 Lemony Snicket 2004 Dec 17 $30,062,000 3620 $35,040,113 $9,680
 Night at the Museum 2006 Dec 22 $30,433,781 3685 $33,686,246 $9,141
 Enchanted 2007 Nov 21 $34,440,317 3730 $36,292,485 $9,730
 Happy Feet 2006 Nov 17 $41,533,432 3804 $45,972,119 $12,085
 Night at the Museum 2 2009 May 22 $53,500,000 4096 $53,500,000 $13,062
 The Grinch 2000 Nov 17 $55,082,330 3127 $74,090,333 $23,694
* adjusted for ticket prices (calculated in 2009 dollars) ** adjusted per theater gross ("crowdedness")
Other Box Office Open Comparisons
Shutter Island The Wolfman The Book of Eli Sherlock Holmes It's Complicated Alvin and Chipmunks 2 Avatar Invictus Hear About the Morgans? Armored Everybody's Fine Brothers Up in the Air The Road Old Dogs Ninja Assassin Planet 51 Twilight: New Moon The Blind Side 2012

About Box Office Comparisons
The box office line represents the potential extremes for 's opening weekend gross. The red notch is Lee's prediction. The red range around Lee's prediction represents the median average percent off of 500+ opening weekend predictions using abs(prediction - actual) / prediction. The actual opening weekend gross fell within the range 50% of the time. (1 pixel = approximately $63,519)
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