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LMI Home Box Office Predictions Reviews Upcoming Featured Box Office For Wednesday, Nov. 18: (1) 2012 $3.6M   (2) A Christmas Carol $1.1M   (3) Men Stare at Goats $0.4M  
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The Box posterThe Box Opening Comparisons

Lee's Prediction: $8.300 million (3-day) 2635 theaters (marked as ).
The Box weekend gross: $7.571 million (marked as ).
$6.957
88 Minutes
Bless the Child
$9.414
$12.871
Orphan
The Number 23
$14.603
$17.559
Premonition
Stir of Echoes
$5.812
Director and Actor Comparisons (3-day opening weekend, in million $)
Selected By Weekend By Gross By Theaters By Average
 Title Release First Weekend Theaters Adjusted* Adj. Avg.**
 The Box2009 Nov 6$7,571,4172635$7,571,417$2,873
 Frailty 2002 Apr 12 $4,208,655 1497 $5,260,819 $3,514
 Fear dot com 2002 Aug 30 $5,710,000 2550 $7,137,500 $2,799
 Stir of Echoes 1999 Sep 12 $5,811,664 1888 $8,326,989 $4,410
 Godsend 2004 Apr 30 $6,801,000 2323 $7,927,211 $3,412
 88 Minutes 2008 Apr 18 $6,957,216 2168 $7,025,044 $3,240
 The Watcher 2000 Sep 8 $9,062,295 2742 $12,189,543 $4,445
 Murder By Numbers 2002 Apr 19 $9,307,185 2663 $11,633,981 $4,369
 Bless the Child 2000 Aug 11 $9,413,684 2524 $12,662,191 $5,017
 Fallen 1998 Jan 16 $10,401,586 2448 $16,079,211 $6,568
 Orphan 2009 Jul 24 $12,871,483 2750 $12,871,483 $4,681
 The Game 1997 Sep 12 $14,337,029 2403 $22,645,634 $9,424
 The Number 23 2007 Feb 23 $14,603,387 2759 $15,388,744 $5,578
 The Ring 2002 Oct 18 $15,015,000 1981 $18,768,750 $9,474
 Premonition 2007 Mar 16 $17,558,689 2831 $18,502,979 $6,536
 Secret Window 2004 Mar 12 $18,238,000 3018 $21,258,119 $7,044
* adjusted for ticket prices (calculated in 2009 dollars) ** adjusted per theater gross ("crowdedness")
Other Box Office Open Comparisons
Shutter Island The Wolfman The Book of Eli Sherlock Holmes It's Complicated Alvin and Chipmunks 2 Avatar Invictus Hear About the Morgans? Armored Everybody's Fine Brothers Up in the Air The Road Old Dogs Ninja Assassin Planet 51 Twilight: New Moon The Blind Side 2012

About Box Office Comparisons
The box office line represents the potential extremes for 's opening weekend gross. The red notch is Lee's prediction. The red range around Lee's prediction represents the median average percent off of 500+ opening weekend predictions using abs(prediction - actual) / prediction. The actual opening weekend gross fell within the range 50% of the time. (1 pixel = approximately $23,494)
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