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LMI Home Box Office Predictions Reviews Upcoming Featured Box Office For Thursday, Nov. 19: (1) 2012 $3.2M   (2) Twilight $1.3M   (3) A Christmas Carol $1M  
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Twilight: New Moon
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2012
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Sherlock Holmes posterSherlock Holmes Opening Comparisons
Also opening on Dec 25, 2009: It's Complicated
$25.626
Robin HoodNational Treasure
$35.143$37.032
The Last CrusadeNational Treasure 2
$44.784$47.072
Die Another Day
Dick Tracy
$22.544
Director and Actor Comparisons (3-day opening weekend, in million $)
Guy Ritchie (dir) RocknRolla ($0.145), Swept Away ($0.354), Snatch ($8.005)
Robert Downey Jr.: The Soloist ($9.716), Tropic Thunder ($25.813), Iron Man ($98.619)
Jude Law: My Blueberry Nights ($0.074), Sleuth ($0.046), Breaking & Entering ($0.021)
Selected By Weekend By Gross By Theaters By Average
 Title Release First Weekend Theaters Adjusted* Adj. Avg.**
 Sherlock Holmes2009 Dec 25
 Talented Mr. Ripley 1999 Dec 25 $12,738,237 2307 $18,251,427 $7,911
 Entrapment 1999 Apr 30 $20,145,595 2815 $28,864,736 $10,254
 Shaft 2000 Jun 16 $21,714,757 2337 $29,208,161 $12,498
 Dick Tracy 1990 Jun 15 $22,543,911 2332 $38,730,653 $16,608
 Robin Hood 1991 Jun 14 $25,625,602 3175 $44,129,600 $13,899
 GoldenEye 1995 Nov 17 $26,205,007 2667 $43,675,012 $16,376
 Constantine 2005 Feb 18 $29,769,000 3006 $33,670,086 $11,201
 Sleepy Hollow 1999 Nov 19 $30,060,467 3064 $43,070,827 $14,057
 National Treasure 2004 Nov 19 $35,143,000 3017 $40,962,500 $13,577
 World Is Not Enough 1999 Nov 19 $35,519,007 3163 $50,891,858 $16,090
 Red Dragon 2002 Oct 4 $36,540,945 3357 $45,676,181 $13,606
 The Last Crusade 1989 May 24 $37,031,573 2327 $67,287,946 $28,916
 Casino Royale 2006 Nov 17 $40,833,156 3434 $45,197,005 $13,162
 National Treasure 2 2007 Dec 21 $44,783,772 3832 $47,192,202 $12,315
 Die Another Day 2002 Nov 22 $47,072,000 3314 $58,840,000 $17,755
* adjusted for ticket prices (calculated in 2009 dollars) ** adjusted per theater gross ("crowdedness")
Other Box Office Open Comparisons
Shutter Island The Wolfman The Book of Eli It's Complicated Alvin and Chipmunks 2 Avatar Invictus Hear About the Morgans? Armored Everybody's Fine Brothers Up in the Air The Road Old Dogs Ninja Assassin Planet 51 Twilight: New Moon The Blind Side 2012 Fantastic Mr. Fox

About Box Office Comparisons
The box office line represents the potential extremes for 's opening weekend gross. The red notch is Lee's prediction. The red range around Lee's prediction represents the median average percent off of 500+ opening weekend predictions using abs(prediction - actual) / prediction. The actual opening weekend gross fell within the range 50% of the time. (1 pixel = approximately $49,056)
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