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LMI Home Box Office Predictions Reviews Upcoming Featured Box Office For Thursday, Nov. 19: (1) 2012 $3.2M   (2) Twilight $1.3M   (3) A Christmas Carol $1M  
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Twilight: New Moon
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2012
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Avatar posterAvatar Opening Comparisons

$62.008
The Two Towers
The Phantom Menace
$64.811
$70.885
300
Attack of the Clones
$80.028
$108.436
Revenge of the Sith
Minority Report
$35.677
Director and Actor Comparisons (3-day opening weekend, in million $)
Selected By Weekend By Gross By Theaters By Average
 Title Release First Weekend Theaters Adjusted* Adj. Avg.**
 Avatar2009 Dec 18
 Alien 1979 May 25 $3,522,581 91 $10,339,560 $113,622
 Aliens 1986 Jul 18 $10,052,042 1437 $19,643,478 $13,670
 The Cell 2000 Aug 18 $17,515,915 2411 $23,560,368 $9,772
 Total Recall 1990 Jun 1 $25,533,700 2060 $43,867,139 $21,295
 Minority Report 2002 Jun 21 $35,677,000 3001 $44,596,250 $14,860
 The Last Crusade 1989 May 24 $37,031,573 2327 $67,287,946 $28,916
 Lord Of The Rings 2001 Dec 19 $47,211,490 3359 $60,581,115 $18,035
 Watchmen 2009 Mar 6 $55,214,334 3611 $55,214,334 $15,291
 The Two Towers 2002 Dec 18 $62,007,528 3622 $77,509,410 $21,400
 The Phantom Menace 1999 May 19 $64,810,970 2970 $92,861,568 $31,267
 300 2007 Mar 9 $70,885,301 3103 $74,697,447 $24,073
 The Lost World 1997 May 23 $72,100,000 3281 $113,883,442 $34,710
 Return of the King 2003 Dec 17 $72,629,713 3703 $87,324,282 $23,582
 Attack of the Clones 2002 May 16 $80,027,814 3161 $100,034,768 $31,647
 Revenge of the Sith 2005 May 19 $108,435,841 3661 $122,645,842 $33,501
* adjusted for ticket prices (calculated in 2009 dollars) ** adjusted per theater gross ("crowdedness")
Other Box Office Open Comparisons
Shutter Island The Wolfman The Book of Eli Sherlock Holmes It's Complicated Alvin and Chipmunks 2 Invictus Hear About the Morgans? Armored Everybody's Fine Brothers Up in the Air The Road Old Dogs Ninja Assassin Planet 51 Twilight: New Moon The Blind Side 2012 Fantastic Mr. Fox

About Box Office Comparisons
The box office line represents the potential extremes for 's opening weekend gross. The red notch is Lee's prediction. The red range around Lee's prediction represents the median average percent off of 500+ opening weekend predictions using abs(prediction - actual) / prediction. The actual opening weekend gross fell within the range 50% of the time. (1 pixel = approximately $145,518)
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