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LMI Home Box Office Predictions Reviews Upcoming Featured Box Office For Wednesday, Nov. 18: (1) 2012 $3.6M   (2) A Christmas Carol $1.1M   (3) Men Stare at Goats $0.4M  
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The Road posterThe Road Opening Comparisons

Also opening on Nov 25, 2009: Ninja Assassin Old Dogs
$8.624
Alive
28 Days Later
$10.062
$13.621
12 Monkeys
Volcano
$14.582
$18.829
Hidalgo
A History of Violence
$8.099
Director and Actor Comparisons (3-day opening weekend, in million $)
John Hillcoat (dir) The Proposition ($0.033)
Charlize Theron: Battle in Seattle ($0.047), Hancock ($62.604), Sleepwalking ($0.048)
Viggo Mortensen: Good ($0.004), Appaloosa ($0.249), Eastern Promises ($0.547)
Selected By Weekend By Gross By Theaters By Average
 Title Release First Weekend Theaters Adjusted* Adj. Avg.**
 The Road2009 Nov 25
 A History of Violence 2005 Sep 23 $8,098,960 1340 $9,160,290 $6,836
 Alive 1993 Jan 15 $8,624,292 1132 $15,102,927 $13,342
 28 Weeks Later 2007 May 11 $9,807,292 2303 $10,334,719 $4,488
 28 Days Later 2003 Jun 27 $10,062,000 1260 $12,097,761 $9,601
 12 Monkeys 1996 Jan 5 $13,620,705 1533 $22,341,654 $14,574
 Volcano 1997 Apr 25 $14,581,740 2774 $23,032,160 $8,303
 Hidalgo 2004 Mar 5 $18,829,000 3063 $21,946,986 $7,165
 War of the Worlds 2005 Jun 29 $64,878,725 3908 $73,380,773 $18,777
 Day After Tomorrow 2004 May 28 $68,743,584 3425 $80,127,168 $23,395
 I Am Legend 2007 Dec 14 $77,211,321 3606 $81,363,674 $22,563
* adjusted for ticket prices (calculated in 2009 dollars) ** adjusted per theater gross ("crowdedness")
Other Box Office Open Comparisons
Shutter Island The Wolfman The Book of Eli It's Complicated Sherlock Holmes Alvin and Chipmunks 2 Avatar Invictus Hear About the Morgans? Armored Everybody's Fine Brothers Up in the Air Old Dogs Ninja Assassin Planet 51 Twilight: New Moon The Blind Side 2012 Fantastic Mr. Fox

About Box Office Comparisons
The box office line represents the potential extremes for 's opening weekend gross. The red notch is Lee's prediction. The red range around Lee's prediction represents the median average percent off of 500+ opening weekend predictions using abs(prediction - actual) / prediction. The actual opening weekend gross fell within the range 50% of the time. (1 pixel = approximately $21,460)
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