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LMI Home Box Office Predictions Reviews Upcoming Featured Box Office For Sunday, Oct. 22: (1) Boo 2! $5M   (2) Geostorm $3.8M   (3) Death Day $2.3M  
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The Fourth Kind posterThe Fourth Kind Opening Comparisons

Lee's Prediction: $15.300 million (3-day) 2529 theaters (marked as ).
The Fourth Kind weekend gross: $12.231 million (marked as ).
Also opening on Nov 06, 2009: A Christmas Carol Men Stare at Goats Precious The Box
$14.211
Quarantine
The Ring
$15.015
$15.062
Thirteen Ghosts
Butterfly Effect
$17.065
$24.114
White Noise
Shutter
$10.448
Director and Actor Comparisons (3-day opening weekend, in million $)
Selected By Weekend By Gross By Theaters By Average
 Title Release First Weekend Theaters Adjusted* Adj. Avg.**
 The Fourth Kind2009 Nov 6$12,231,1602527$12,231,160$4,840
 The Return 2006 Nov 10 $4,479,621 1984 $5,129,337 $2,585
 Awake 2007 Nov 30 $5,856,872 2002 $6,384,672 $3,189
 Pulse 2006 Aug 11 $8,204,000 2323 $9,393,893 $4,044
 Shutter 2008 Mar 21 $10,447,559 2753 $10,913,188 $3,964
 Ghost Ship 2002 Oct 25 $11,503,000 2787 $14,874,569 $5,337
 Darkness Falls 2003 Jan 24 $12,025,000 2837 $14,956,468 $5,272
 Quarantine 2008 Oct 10 $14,211,321 2461 $14,844,695 $6,032
 The Ring 2002 Oct 18 $15,015,000 1981 $19,415,948 $9,801
 Thirteen Ghosts 2001 Oct 26 $15,061,896 2781 $19,993,667 $7,189
 Drag Me to Hell 2009 May 29 $15,825,480 2508 $15,825,480 $6,310
 House on Haunted Hill 1999 Oct 29 $15,946,032 2710 $23,635,423 $8,722
 Butterfly Effect 2004 Jan 23 $17,065,000 2605 $20,576,768 $7,899
 Boogeyman 2005 Feb 4 $19,021,000 3052 $22,255,460 $7,292
 The Amityville Horror 2005 Apr 15 $23,507,007 3323 $27,504,298 $8,277
 White Noise 2005 Jan 7 $24,113,565 2261 $28,214,000 $12,479
* adjusted for ticket prices (calculated in 2009 dollars) ** adjusted per theater gross ("crowdedness")
Other Box Office Open Comparisons
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About Box Office Comparisons
The box office line represents the potential extremes for 's opening weekend gross. The red notch is Lee's prediction. The red range around Lee's prediction represents the median average percent off of 500+ opening weekend predictions using abs(prediction - actual) / prediction. The actual opening weekend gross fell within the range 50% of the time. (1 pixel = approximately $27,332)

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