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LMI Home Box Office Predictions Reviews Upcoming Featured Box Office For Friday, Oct. 20: (1) Boo 2! $7.5M   (2) Geostorm $4.3M   (3) Death Day $3M  
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Invictus posterInvictus Opening Comparisons

Lee's Prediction: $15.831 million (3-day) 2125 theaters (marked as ).
Invictus weekend gross: $8.611 million (marked as ).
Also opening on Dec 11, 2009: Princess and the Frog The Lovely Bones
$14.505
Ali
Invincible
$17.032
$18.320
Cinderella Man
Seabiscuit
$20.855
$20.906
Remember The Titans
Rocky Balboa
$12.158
Director and Actor Comparisons (3-day opening weekend, in million $)
Clint Eastwood (dir) Sully ($35.028), American Sniper ($0.610), Jersey Boys ($13.319)
Matt Damon: The Great Wall ($18.470), Jason Bourne ($59.215), The Martian ($54.309)
Morgan Freeman: Going in Style ($11.932), Now You See Me 2 ($22.383), London Has Fallen ($21.636)
Selected By Weekend By Gross By Theaters By Average
 Title Release First Weekend Theaters Adjusted* Adj. Avg.**
 Invictus2009 Dec 11$8,611,1472125$8,611,147$4,052
 Flags of Our Fathers 2006 Oct 20 $10,245,190 1876 $11,731,134 $6,253
 The Legend of Bagger Vance 2000 Nov 3 $11,516,712 2061 $16,025,109 $7,775
 Rocky Balboa 2006 Dec 20 $12,158,168 3017 $13,921,566 $4,614
 Men of Honor 2000 Nov 10 $13,339,465 2092 $18,561,408 $8,873
 Ali 2001 Dec 25 $14,504,780 2446 $19,254,133 $7,872
 Invincible 2006 Aug 25 $17,032,363 2917 $19,502,706 $6,686
 Cinderella Man 2005 Jun 3 $18,320,000 2812 $21,435,257 $7,623
 Miracle 2004 Feb 6 $19,378,595 2605 $23,366,473 $8,970
 Friday Night Lights 2004 Oct 8 $20,269,025 2667 $24,440,143 $9,164
 Seabiscuit 2003 Jul 25 $20,854,735 1987 $25,938,725 $13,054
 Remember The Titans 2000 Sep 29 $20,905,831 1865 $29,089,746 $15,598
* adjusted for ticket prices (calculated in 2009 dollars) ** adjusted per theater gross ("crowdedness")
Other Box Office Open Comparisons
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About Box Office Comparisons
The box office line represents the potential extremes for 's opening weekend gross. The red notch is Lee's prediction. The red range around Lee's prediction represents the median average percent off of 500+ opening weekend predictions using abs(prediction - actual) / prediction. The actual opening weekend gross fell within the range 50% of the time. (1 pixel = approximately $17,495)

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