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LMI Home Box Office Predictions Reviews Upcoming Featured Box Office For Thursday, Nov. 19: (1) 2012 $3.2M   (2) Twilight $1.3M   (3) A Christmas Carol $1M  
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Invictus posterInvictus Opening Comparisons

Also opening on Dec 11, 2009: Hear About the Morgans?
$14.505
Ali
Invincible
$17.032
$18.320
Cinderella Man
Seabiscuit
$20.855
$20.906
Remember The Titans
Rocky Balboa
$12.158
Director and Actor Comparisons (3-day opening weekend, in million $)
Clint Eastwood (dir) Gran Torino ($0.272), Letters from Iwo Jima ($0.076), Flags of Our Fathers ($10.245)
Morgan Freeman: The Dark Knight ($158.411), Wanted ($50.927), The Bucket List ($0.323)
Matt Damon: The Informant! ($10.464), Ponyo ($3.586), The Bourne Ultimatum ($69.284)
Selected By Weekend By Gross By Theaters By Average
 Title Release First Weekend Theaters Adjusted* Adj. Avg.**
 Invictus2009 Dec 11
 Flags of Our Fathers 2006 Oct 20 $10,245,190 1876 $11,340,096 $6,045
 Bagger Vance 2000 Nov 3 $11,516,712 2061 $15,490,939 $7,516
 Rocky Balboa 2006 Dec 20 $12,158,168 3017 $13,457,514 $4,461
 Men of Honor 2000 Nov 10 $13,339,465 2092 $17,942,694 $8,577
 Ali 2001 Dec 25 $14,504,780 2446 $18,612,328 $7,609
 Invincible 2006 Aug 25 $17,032,363 2917 $18,852,616 $6,463
 Cinderella Man 2005 Jun 3 $18,320,000 2812 $20,720,749 $7,369
 Miracle 2004 Feb 6 $19,378,595 2605 $22,587,591 $8,671
 Friday Night Lights 2004 Oct 8 $20,269,025 2667 $23,625,471 $8,858
 Seabiscuit 2003 Jul 25 $20,854,735 1987 $25,074,101 $12,619
 Remember The Titans 2000 Sep 29 $20,905,831 1865 $28,120,088 $15,078
* adjusted for ticket prices (calculated in 2009 dollars) ** adjusted per theater gross ("crowdedness")
Other Box Office Open Comparisons
Shutter Island The Wolfman The Book of Eli It's Complicated Sherlock Holmes Alvin and Chipmunks 2 Avatar Hear About the Morgans? Armored Everybody's Fine Brothers Up in the Air The Road Old Dogs Ninja Assassin Planet 51 Twilight: New Moon The Blind Side 2012 Fantastic Mr. Fox

About Box Office Comparisons
The box office line represents the potential extremes for 's opening weekend gross. The red notch is Lee's prediction. The red range around Lee's prediction represents the median average percent off of 500+ opening weekend predictions using abs(prediction - actual) / prediction. The actual opening weekend gross fell within the range 50% of the time. (1 pixel = approximately $17,495)
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