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LMI Home Box Office Predictions Reviews Upcoming Featured Box Office For Friday, Oct. 20: (1) Boo 2! $7.5M   (2) Geostorm $4.3M   (3) Death Day $3M  
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The Lovely Bones posterThe Lovely Bones Opening Comparisons

Lee's Prediction: $12.687 million (3-day) 2563 theaters (marked as ).
The Lovely Bones opened in limited release with: $116,616.
Also opening on Dec 11, 2009: Invictus Princess and the Frog
$12.442
My Sister's Keeper
Nights in Rodanthe
$13.418
$13.465
The Notebook
Message in a Bottle
$16.710
$18.623
Time Traveler's Wife
Great Expectations
$9.750
Director and Actor Comparisons (3-day opening weekend, in million $)
Peter Jackson (dir) The Hobbit III ($54.724), The Hobbit 2 ($73.645), The Hobbit ($84.617)
Mark Wahlberg: Transformers V ($44.680), Patriots Day ($0.161), Deepwater Horizon ($20.224)
Susan Sarandon: The Meddler ($0.015), Tammy ($21.577), The Big Wedding ($7.592)
Selected By Weekend By Gross By Theaters By Average
 Title Release First Weekend Theaters Adjusted* Adj. Avg.**
 The Lovely Bones2009 Dec 11$116,6163$116,616$38,872
 Great Expectations 1998 Jan 30 $9,749,850 1866 $15,591,445 $8,356
 Autumn in N.Y. 2000 Aug 11 $10,987,006 2255 $15,288,042 $6,780
 My Sister's Keeper 2009 Jun 26 $12,442,212 2606 $12,442,212 $4,774
 Nights in Rodanthe 2008 Sep 26 $13,418,454 2704 $14,016,491 $5,184
 The Notebook 2004 Jun 25 $13,465,000 2303 $16,235,932 $7,050
 Seven Pounds 2008 Dec 19 $14,851,136 2758 $15,513,025 $5,625
 Message in a Bottle 1999 Feb 12 $16,710,192 2538 $24,768,071 $9,759
 Time Traveler's Wife 2009 Aug 14 $18,623,171 2988 $18,623,171 $6,233
* adjusted for ticket prices (calculated in 2009 dollars) ** adjusted per theater gross ("crowdedness")
Other Box Office Open Comparisons
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About Box Office Comparisons
The box office line represents the potential extremes for 's opening weekend gross. The red notch is Lee's prediction. The red range around Lee's prediction represents the median average percent off of 500+ opening weekend predictions using abs(prediction - actual) / prediction. The actual opening weekend gross fell within the range 50% of the time. (1 pixel = approximately $17,747)

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