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LMI Home Box Office Predictions Reviews Upcoming Featured Box Office For Sunday, Dec. 3: (1) Coco $9.4M   (2) Justice League $4.7M   (3) Wonder $3.4M  
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Alice in Wonderland posterAlice in Wonderland Opening Comparisons

Lee's Prediction: $76.983 million (3-day) 3728 theaters (marked as ).
Alice in Wonderland weekend estimate: $116.300 million (marked as ).
Also opening on Mar 05, 2010: Brooklyn's Finest
$56.178
Chocolate Factory
Chronicles of Narnia
$65.556
$68.533
Planet Of The Apes
Half-Blood Prince
$77.836
$88.357
Chamber of Secrets
Pirates of the Caribbean
$46.631
Director and Actor Comparisons (3-day opening weekend, in million $)
Selected By Weekend By Gross By Theaters By Average
 Title Release First Weekend Theaters Adjusted* Adj. Avg.**
 Alice in Wonderland2010 Mar 5$116,300,0003728$116,300,000$31,196
 Corpse Bride 2005 Sep 16 $19,143,900 3204 $23,564,020 $7,355
 Aladdin 1992 Nov 25 $19,289,073 1131 $36,672,479 $32,425
 Night at the Museum 2006 Dec 22 $30,433,781 3685 $36,659,929 $9,948
 Where Wild Things Are 2009 Oct 16 $32,695,407 3735 $34,395,568 $9,209
 Pirates of the Caribbean 2003 Jul 9 $46,631,000 3269 $61,014,692 $18,665
 Night at the Museum 2 2009 May 22 $53,500,000 4096 $56,282,000 $13,741
 Prince Caspian 2008 May 16 $55,034,805 3929 $60,476,965 $15,392
 Chocolate Factory 2005 Jul 15 $56,178,450 3770 $69,149,449 $18,342
 Chronicles of Narnia 2005 Dec 9 $65,556,312 3616 $80,692,559 $22,315
 Planet Of The Apes 2001 Jul 27 $68,532,960 3500 $95,703,549 $27,344
 Order of the Phoenix 2007 Jul 11 $77,108,414 4285 $88,428,108 $20,637
 Half-Blood Prince 2009 Jul 15 $77,835,727 4325 $81,883,185 $18,933
 Chamber of Secrets 2002 Nov 15 $88,357,488 3682 $120,196,652 $32,644
 Pirates...Caribbean 3 2007 May 25 $114,732,820 4362 $131,575,865 $30,164
 Pirates of Caribbean 2 2006 Jul 7 $135,634,554 4133 $163,382,692 $39,531
* adjusted for ticket prices (calculated in 2010 dollars) ** adjusted per theater gross ("crowdedness")
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About Box Office Comparisons
The box office line represents the potential extremes for 's opening weekend gross. The red notch is Lee's prediction. The red range around Lee's prediction represents the median average percent off of 500+ opening weekend predictions using abs(prediction - actual) / prediction. The actual opening weekend gross fell within the range 50% of the time. (1 pixel = approximately $83,453)

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