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LMI Home Box Office Predictions Reviews Upcoming Featured Box Office For Monday, Oct. 9: (1) Blade Runner 2049 $4.5M   (2) LEGO Ninjago $1.9M   (3) The Golden Circle $1.4M  
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Dear John posterDear John Opening Comparisons

Lee's Prediction: $19.150 million (3-day) 2969 theaters (marked as ).
Dear John weekend estimate: $32.400 million (marked as ).
Also opening on Feb 05, 2010: From Paris with Love
$13.465
The Notebook
The Lake House
$13.616
$15.369
City of Angels
The Lovely Bones
$17.005
$18.623
Time Traveler's Wife
A Walk To Remember
$12.177
Director and Actor Comparisons (3-day opening weekend, in million $)
Lasse Hallstrφm (dir) A Dog's Purpose ($18.223), Hundred-Foot Journey ($10.979), Safe Haven ($21.402)
Tom Stearns:
Amanda Seyfried: Love the Coopers ($8.318), Pan ($15.315), Ted 2 ($33.508)
Selected By Weekend By Gross By Theaters By Average
 Title Release First Weekend Theaters Adjusted* Adj. Avg.**
 Dear John2010 Feb 5$32,400,0002969$32,400,000$10,913
 How to Deal 2003 Jul 18 $5,809,960 2319 $7,602,087 $3,278
 Summer Catch 2001 Aug 24 $7,018,593 2335 $9,801,186 $4,198
 Nick and Norah's 2008 Oct 3 $11,311,751 2421 $12,430,322 $5,134
 A Walk To Remember 2002 Jan 25 $12,177,488 2411 $16,565,583 $6,871
 Nights in Rodanthe 2008 Sep 26 $13,418,454 2704 $14,745,348 $5,453
 The Notebook 2004 Jun 25 $13,465,000 2303 $17,080,201 $7,417
 The Lake House 2006 Jun 16 $13,616,196 2645 $16,401,799 $6,201
 Crossroads 2002 Feb 15 $14,527,000 2380 $19,761,729 $8,303
 Varsity Blues 1999 Jan 15 $14,698,530 2121 $22,919,249 $10,806
 City of Angels 1998 Apr 10 $15,369,048 2212 $25,855,392 $11,689
 The Lovely Bones 2009 Dec 11 $17,005,133 2563 $17,889,400 $6,980
 Time Traveler's Wife 2009 Aug 14 $18,623,171 2988 $19,591,576 $6,557
* adjusted for ticket prices (calculated in 2010 dollars) ** adjusted per theater gross ("crowdedness")
Other Box Office Open Comparisons
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About Box Office Comparisons
The box office line represents the potential extremes for 's opening weekend gross. The red notch is Lee's prediction. The red range around Lee's prediction represents the median average percent off of 500+ opening weekend predictions using abs(prediction - actual) / prediction. The actual opening weekend gross fell within the range 50% of the time. (1 pixel = approximately $12,891)

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