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LMI Home Box Office Predictions Reviews Upcoming Featured Box Office For Monday, Oct. 9: (1) Blade Runner 2049 $4.5M   (2) LEGO Ninjago $1.9M   (3) The Golden Circle $1.4M  
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Cop Out posterCop Out Opening Comparisons

Lee's Prediction: $17.798 million (3-day) 3150 theaters (marked as ).
Cop Out weekend estimate: $18.565 million (marked as ).
Also opening on Feb 26, 2010: The Crazies
$12.753
I Spy
National Security
$14.370
$15.011
Showtime
Beverly Hills Cop 3
$15.276
$19.209
Blue Streak
Bad Company
$11.007
Director and Actor Comparisons (3-day opening weekend, in million $)
Kevin Smith (dir) Tusk ($0.847), Zack and Miri ($10.066), Clerks 2 ($10.061)
Bruce Willis: Rock the Kasbah ($1.471), Sin City 2 ($6.318), Red 2 ($18.048)
Tracy Morgan: Top Five ($6.895), First Sunday ($17.715), Little Man ($21.613)
Selected By Weekend By Gross By Theaters By Average
 Title Release First Weekend Theaters Adjusted* Adj. Avg.**
 Cop Out2010 Feb 26$18,565,0003150$18,565,000$5,894
 48 Hours 1982 Dec 8 $4,369,868 850 $11,727,299 $13,797
 Armored 2009 Dec 4 $6,511,128 1915 $6,849,707 $3,577
 Die Hard 1988 Jul 15 $7,106,044 1276 $13,641,530 $10,691
 Assassins 1995 Oct 6 $9,379,029 2343 $17,011,618 $7,261
 Hostage 2005 Mar 11 $10,214,734 2123 $12,573,206 $5,922
 The Negotiator 1998 Jul 29 $10,218,831 2436 $17,191,168 $7,057
 Money Talks 1997 Aug 22 $10,654,369 2005 $18,314,373 $9,134
 Bad Company 2002 Jun 7 $11,007,000 2944 $14,973,316 $5,086
 Hollywood Homicide 2003 Jun 13 $11,113,000 2840 $14,540,891 $5,120
 Metro 1997 Jan 17 $11,411,107 2001 $19,615,171 $9,803
 16 Blocks 2006 Mar 3 $11,855,260 2706 $14,280,611 $5,277
 I Spy 2002 Nov 1 $12,753,000 3182 $17,348,478 $5,452
 National Security 2003 Jan 17 $14,370,000 2729 $18,802,537 $6,890
 Showtime 2002 Mar 15 $15,011,430 2917 $20,420,721 $7,001
 Beverly Hills Cop 3 1994 May 25 $15,276,224 2748 $29,541,521 $10,750
 Speed 2 1997 Jun 13 $16,158,942 2615 $27,776,482 $10,622
 Blue Streak 1999 Sep 17 $19,208,806 2735 $29,952,071 $10,951
 Die Hard 2 1990 Jul 4 $21,744,661 2507 $40,655,302 $16,217
 Die Hard 3 1995 May 19 $22,162,245 2525 $40,197,727 $15,920
 Training Day 2001 Oct 5 $22,550,788 2712 $31,491,277 $11,612
 Rush Hour 1998 Sep 18 $33,001,803 2638 $55,519,025 $21,046
 Live Free or Die Hard 2007 Jun 27 $33,369,559 3408 $38,268,288 $11,229
* adjusted for ticket prices (calculated in 2010 dollars) ** adjusted per theater gross ("crowdedness")
Other Box Office Open Comparisons
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About Box Office Comparisons
The box office line represents the potential extremes for 's opening weekend gross. The red notch is Lee's prediction. The red range around Lee's prediction represents the median average percent off of 500+ opening weekend predictions using abs(prediction - actual) / prediction. The actual opening weekend gross fell within the range 50% of the time. (1 pixel = approximately $16,404)

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