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LMI Home Box Office Predictions Reviews Upcoming Featured Box Office For Friday, Oct. 20: (1) Boo 2! $7.5M   (2) Geostorm $4.3M   (3) Death Day $3M  
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The Last Airbender posterThe Last Airbender Opening Comparisons


The Last Airbender weekend gross: $51.804 million (marked as ).
$21.172
Waterworld
The Golden Compass
$25.783
$35.867
10,000 BC
Prince Caspian
$55.035
$65.556
Chronicles of Narnia
Lady in the Water
$18.044
Director and Actor Comparisons (3-day opening weekend, in million $)
M. Night Shyamalan (dir) Split ($40.011), The Visit ($25.428), After Earth ($27.520)
Dev Patel: Child 44 ($0.622), Chappie ($13.347), Marigold Hotel 2 ($8.540)
Selected By Weekend By Gross By Theaters By Average
 Title Release First Weekend Theaters Adjusted* Adj. Avg.**
 The Last Airbender2010 Jul 2$51,804,2323169$51,804,232$16,347
 Willow 1988 May 20 $8,300,544 1024 $15,934,621 $15,561
 Apocalypto 2006 Dec 8 $15,005,604 2465 $18,075,453 $7,333
 Hero 2004 Aug 27 $18,004,319 2031 $22,838,276 $11,245
 Lady in the Water 2006 Jul 21 $18,044,000 3235 $21,735,444 $6,719
 The Spiderwick Chronicles 2008 Feb 14 $19,004,058 3847 $20,883,289 $5,428
 Waterworld 1995 Jul 28 $21,171,780 2268 $38,401,229 $16,932
 LXG: League of... 2003 Jul 11 $23,076,000 3002 $30,193,970 $10,058
 The Last Samurai 2003 Dec 5 $24,271,000 2908 $31,757,577 $10,921
 Master & Commander 2003 Nov 14 $25,105,990 3101 $32,850,126 $10,593
 The Golden Compass 2007 Dec 7 $25,783,232 3528 $29,568,270 $8,381
 10,000 BC 2008 Mar 7 $35,867,488 3410 $39,414,273 $11,558
 Prince Caspian 2008 May 16 $55,034,805 3929 $60,476,965 $15,392
 Chronicles of Narnia 2005 Dec 9 $65,556,312 3616 $80,692,559 $22,315
* adjusted for ticket prices (calculated in 2010 dollars) ** adjusted per theater gross ("crowdedness")
Other Box Office Open Comparisons
CHIPS Inferno The Accountant Mechanic: Resurrection Suicide Squad Jason Bourne Bad Moms Mike and Dave... Central Intelligence Warcraft Ninja Turtles 2 Popstar The Nice Guys Neighbors 2 Search Party Civil War Mother's Day The Boss Batman v Superman The Brothers Grimsby

About Box Office Comparisons
The box office line represents the potential extremes for 's opening weekend gross. The red notch is Lee's prediction. The red range around Lee's prediction represents the median average percent off of 500+ opening weekend predictions using abs(prediction - actual) / prediction. The actual opening weekend gross fell within the range 50% of the time. (1 pixel = approximately $95,025)

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