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LMI Home Box Office Predictions Reviews Upcoming Featured Box Office For Monday, Oct. 9: (1) Blade Runner 2049 $4.5M   (2) LEGO Ninjago $1.9M   (3) The Golden Circle $1.4M  
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MacGruber posterMacGruber Opening Comparisons

Lee's Prediction: $7.015 million (3-day) 2551 theaters (marked as ).
MacGruber weekend gross: $4.043 million (marked as ).
Also opening on May 21, 2010: Shrek Forever After
$4.174
Walk Hard
Hot Rod
$5.311
$5.642
The Goods
Joe Dirt
$7.874
$9.023
Corky Romano
Run, Fat Boy, Run
$2.341
Director and Actor Comparisons (3-day opening weekend, in million $)
Jorma Taccone (dir) Popstar ($4.699)
Ryan Phillippe: What's Your Number? ($5.600), The Lincoln Lawyer ($13.206), Stop Loss ($4.555)
Val Kilmer: Bad Lieutenant ($0.245), Delgo ($0.512), Deja Vu ($20.575)
Selected By Weekend By Gross By Theaters By Average
 Title Release First Weekend Theaters Adjusted* Adj. Avg.**
 MacGruber2010 May 21$4,043,4952551$4,043,495$1,585
 Van Wilder 2 2006 Dec 1 $2,313,372 1979 $2,786,642 $1,408
 Run, Fat Boy, Run 2008 Mar 28 $2,340,743 1133 $2,572,209 $2,270
 The Rocker 2008 Aug 20 $2,636,048 2784 $2,896,716 $1,040
 Dirty Work 1998 Jun 12 $3,634,236 1776 $6,113,885 $3,443
 Walk Hard 2007 Dec 21 $4,174,383 2650 $4,787,192 $1,806
 Hot Rod 2007 Aug 3 $5,310,711 2607 $6,090,336 $2,336
 The Goods 2009 Aug 14 $5,642,137 1838 $5,935,528 $3,229
 Super Troopers 2002 Feb 15 $6,196,330 1778 $8,429,145 $4,741
 Beerfest 2006 Aug 25 $7,031,228 2964 $8,469,678 $2,858
 Van Wilder 2002 Apr 5 $7,302,913 2022 $9,934,480 $4,913
 Joe Dirt 2001 Apr 15 $7,874,430 2638 $10,996,328 $4,168
 Corky Romano 2001 Oct 12 $9,023,173 2062 $12,600,502 $6,111
 Reno 911!: Miami 2007 Feb 23 $10,273,004 2702 $11,781,105 $4,360
 Undercover Brother 2002 May 31 $12,038,000 2167 $16,375,831 $7,557
 Deuce Bigalow 1999 Dec 10 $12,224,016 2151 $19,060,768 $8,861
 Malibu's Most Wanted 2003 Apr 18 $12,618,159 2503 $16,510,327 $6,596
 Zoolander 2001 Sep 28 $15,525,043 2507 $21,680,104 $8,648
* adjusted for ticket prices (calculated in 2010 dollars) ** adjusted per theater gross ("crowdedness")
Other Box Office Open Comparisons
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About Box Office Comparisons
The box office line represents the potential extremes for 's opening weekend gross. The red notch is Lee's prediction. The red range around Lee's prediction represents the median average percent off of 500+ opening weekend predictions using abs(prediction - actual) / prediction. The actual opening weekend gross fell within the range 50% of the time. (1 pixel = approximately $13,365)

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