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LMI Home Box Office Predictions Reviews Upcoming Featured Box Office For Monday, Oct. 9: (1) Blade Runner 2049 $4.5M   (2) LEGO Ninjago $1.9M   (3) The Golden Circle $1.4M  
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Black Swan posterBlack Swan Opening Comparisons


Black Swan opened in limited release with: $1,443,809.
$0.203
The Wrestler
Nine
$0.257
$0.683
Memoirs of a Geisha
The Illusionist
$0.928
$13.718
Moulin Rouge
Requiem...Dream
$0.065
Director and Actor Comparisons (3-day opening weekend, in million $)
Darren Aronofsky (dir) mother! ($7.535), Noah ($43.720), The Wrestler ($0.203)
Natalie Portman: Jackie ($0.279), Knight of Cups ($0.057), Jane Got a Gun ($0.836)
Vincent Cassel: Jason Bourne ($59.215), Tale of Tales ($0.009), Child 44 ($0.622)
Selected By Weekend By Gross By Theaters By Average
 Title Release First Weekend Theaters Adjusted* Adj. Avg.**
 Black Swan2010 Dec 3$1,443,80918$1,443,809$80,212
 Requiem...Dream 2000 Oct 6 $64,770 2 $94,812 $47,406
 The Wrestler 2008 Dec 17 $202,714 4 $222,760 $55,690
 Nine 2009 Dec 18 $257,232 4 $270,608 $67,652
 Memoirs of a Geisha 2005 Dec 9 $682,504 8 $840,087 $105,011
 The Illusionist 2006 Aug 18 $927,956 51 $1,117,797 $21,918
 Moulin Rouge 2001 Jun 1 $13,718,000 2279 $19,156,641 $8,406
* adjusted for ticket prices (calculated in 2010 dollars) ** adjusted per theater gross ("crowdedness")
Other Box Office Open Comparisons
CHIPS Inferno The Accountant Mechanic: Resurrection Suicide Squad Bad Moms Jason Bourne Mike and Dave... Central Intelligence Warcraft Popstar Ninja Turtles 2 The Nice Guys Neighbors 2 Search Party Civil War Mother's Day The Boss Batman v Superman The Brothers Grimsby

About Box Office Comparisons
The box office line represents the potential extremes for 's opening weekend gross. The red notch is Lee's prediction. The red range around Lee's prediction represents the median average percent off of 500+ opening weekend predictions using abs(prediction - actual) / prediction. The actual opening weekend gross fell within the range 50% of the time. (1 pixel = approximately $27,306)

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