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LMI Home Box Office Predictions Reviews Upcoming Featured Box Office For Sunday, Dec. 3: (1) Coco $9.4M   (2) Justice League $4.7M   (3) Wonder $3.4M  
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The Mechanic posterThe Mechanic Opening Comparisons

Lee's Prediction: $9.596 million (3-day) 2703 theaters (marked as ).
The Mechanic weekend gross: $11.422 million (marked as ).
Also opening on Jan 28, 2011: The Rite
$9.000
Gamer
The Transporter
$9.108
$10.457
Crank
Machete
$11.416
$12.621
Death Race
From Paris with Love
$8.120
Director and Actor Comparisons (3-day opening weekend, in million $)
Selected By Weekend By Gross By Theaters By Average
 Title Release First Weekend Theaters Adjusted* Adj. Avg.**
 The Mechanic2011 Jan 28$11,422,0062703$11,422,006$4,226
 Death Sentence 2007 Aug 31 $4,180,000 1822 $4,817,936 $2,644
 The Bank Job 2008 Mar 7 $5,935,256 1603 $6,555,234 $4,089
 88 Minutes 2008 Apr 18 $6,957,216 2168 $7,683,945 $3,544
 Crank 2 2009 Apr 17 $6,963,565 2223 $7,362,809 $3,312
 From Paris with Love 2010 Feb 5 $8,120,000 2722 $8,161,166 $2,998
 Gamer 2009 Sep 4 $9,000,000 2502 $9,516,000 $3,803
 The Transporter 2002 Oct 11 $9,107,816 2573 $12,452,583 $4,840
 Crank 2006 Sep 1 $10,457,367 2515 $12,660,599 $5,034
 Machete 2010 Sep 3 $11,416,164 2670 $11,474,041 $4,297
 Transporter 3 2008 Nov 26 $12,063,452 2626 $13,323,562 $5,074
 Death Race 2008 Aug 22 $12,621,090 2532 $13,939,449 $5,505
 Transporter 2 2005 Sep 2 $16,540,720 3303 $20,463,012 $6,195
 Red (2010) 2010 Oct 15 $21,761,400 3255 $21,871,724 $6,719
* adjusted for ticket prices (calculated in 2011 dollars) ** adjusted per theater gross ("crowdedness")
Other Box Office Open Comparisons
CHIPS Inferno The Accountant Mechanic: Resurrection Suicide Squad Bad Moms Jason Bourne Mike and Dave... Central Intelligence Warcraft Ninja Turtles 2 Popstar The Nice Guys Neighbors 2 Search Party Civil War Mother's Day The Boss Batman v Superman The Brothers Grimsby

About Box Office Comparisons
The box office line represents the potential extremes for 's opening weekend gross. The red notch is Lee's prediction. The red range around Lee's prediction represents the median average percent off of 500+ opening weekend predictions using abs(prediction - actual) / prediction. The actual opening weekend gross fell within the range 50% of the time. (1 pixel = approximately $9,002)

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