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LMI Home Box Office Predictions Reviews Upcoming Featured Box Office For Friday, Oct. 20: (1) Boo 2! $7.5M   (2) Geostorm $4.3M   (3) Death Day $3M  
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The Holiday posterThe Holiday Opening Comparisons

Lee's Prediction: $18.186 million (3-day) 2610 theaters (marked as ).
The Holiday weekend gross: $12.779 million (marked as ).
Also opening on Dec 08, 2006: Apocalypto Blood Diamond Unaccompanied Minors
$12.521
The Family Stone
Something's Gotta Give
$16.065
$21.679
Best Friend's Wedding
Failure to Launch
$24.411
$33.615
What Women Want
Love Actually
$6.892
Director and Actor Comparisons (3-day opening weekend, in million $)
Nancy Meyers (dir) The Intern ($17.728), It's Complicated ($22.101), Something's Gotta Give ($16.065)
Cameron Diaz: Annie (2014) ($15.862), Sex Tape ($14.608), The Other Woman ($24.764)
Kate Winslet: Mountain Between ($10.551), Collateral Beauty ($7.102), Steve Jobs ($0.522)
Selected By Weekend By Gross By Theaters By Average
 Title Release First Weekend Theaters Adjusted* Adj. Avg.**
 The Holiday2006 Dec 8$12,778,9132610$12,778,913$4,896
 Love Actually 2003 Nov 7 $6,892,416 576 $7,486,787 $12,998
 About a Boy 2002 May 17 $8,557,630 1207 $9,664,220 $8,007
 Bridget Jones 2 2004 Nov 12 $8,684,055 530 $9,144,785 $17,254
 The Sweetest Thing 2002 Apr 12 $9,430,667 2670 $10,650,150 $3,989
 Tuscan Sun 2003 Sep 26 $9,751,000 1226 $10,591,882 $8,639
 Bridget Jones's Diary 2001 Apr 13 $10,733,933 1611 $12,443,763 $7,724
 Something to Talk About 1995 Aug 4 $11,115,697 1510 $16,737,429 $11,084
 The Family Stone 2005 Dec 16 $12,521,000 2466 $12,794,470 $5,188
 Must Love Dogs 2005 Jul 29 $12,855,000 2505 $13,135,764 $5,244
 The Wedding Planner 2001 Jan 26 $13,510,035 2785 $15,662,076 $5,624
 Forces of Nature 1999 Mar 19 $13,510,728 2058 $17,489,183 $8,498
 Something's Gotta Give 2003 Dec 12 $16,065,000 2677 $17,450,373 $6,519
 Sleepless in Seattle 1993 Jun 25 $17,253,733 1579 $27,297,573 $17,288
 Maid in Manhattan 2002 Dec 13 $18,711,407 2838 $21,130,985 $7,446
 Best Friend's Wedding 1997 Jun 20 $21,679,306 2134 $30,936,700 $14,497
 Notting Hill 1999 May 28 $21,811,180 2747 $28,233,840 $10,278
 Monster in Law 2005 May 13 $23,105,133 3424 $23,609,769 $6,895
 How to Lose a Guy 2003 Feb 7 $23,775,000 2923 $25,825,249 $8,835
 Failure to Launch 2006 Mar 10 $24,411,322 3057 $24,411,322 $7,985
 The Devil Wears Prada 2006 Jun 30 $27,537,244 2847 $27,537,244 $9,672
 What Women Want 2000 Dec 15 $33,614,543 3012 $40,848,842 $13,562
 Sweet Home Alabama 2002 Sep 27 $35,648,740 3293 $40,258,491 $12,225
* adjusted for ticket prices (calculated in 2006 dollars) ** adjusted per theater gross ("crowdedness")
Other Box Office Open Comparisons
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About Box Office Comparisons
The box office line represents the potential extremes for 's opening weekend gross. The red notch is Lee's prediction. The red range around Lee's prediction represents the median average percent off of 500+ opening weekend predictions using abs(prediction - actual) / prediction. The actual opening weekend gross fell within the range 50% of the time. (1 pixel = approximately $53,444)

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