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LMI Home Box Office Predictions Reviews Upcoming Featured Box Office For Friday, Oct. 20: (1) Boo 2! $7.5M   (2) Geostorm $4.3M   (3) Death Day $3M  
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The Nativity Story posterThe Nativity Story Opening Comparisons

Lee's Prediction: $18.118 million (3-day) 3183 theaters (marked as ).
The Nativity Story weekend gross: $7.849 million (marked as ).
Also opening on Dec 01, 2006: Turistas Van Wilder 2
$4.030
The New World
End of the Spear
$4.281
$6.201
Jonah
The Prince of Egypt
$14.524
$18.829
Hidalgo
Squanto
$1.119
Director and Actor Comparisons (3-day opening weekend, in million $)
Selected By Weekend By Gross By Theaters By Average
 Title Release First Weekend Theaters Adjusted* Adj. Avg.**
 The Nativity Story2006 Dec 1$7,849,3043183$7,849,304$2,466
 Squanto 1994 Oct 28 $1,119,016 1022 $1,796,460 $1,758
 The Omega Code 1999 Oct 15 $2,354,362 304 $3,047,643 $10,025
 The New World 2005 Dec 25 $4,029,715 811 $4,117,727 $5,077
 End of the Spear 2006 Jan 20 $4,281,388 1162 $4,281,388 $3,684
 Jonah 2002 Oct 4 $6,201,000 940 $7,002,853 $7,450
 Dances With Wolves 1990 Nov 21 $9,491,623 1048 $14,732,258 $14,057
 The Prince of Egypt 1998 Dec 18 $14,524,321 3118 $20,284,499 $6,506
 Hidalgo 2004 Mar 5 $18,829,000 3063 $19,827,966 $6,473
 The Passion 2004 Feb 25 $83,848,082 3043 $88,296,614 $29,016
* adjusted for ticket prices (calculated in 2006 dollars) ** adjusted per theater gross ("crowdedness")
Other Box Office Open Comparisons
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About Box Office Comparisons
The box office line represents the potential extremes for 's opening weekend gross. The red notch is Lee's prediction. The red range around Lee's prediction represents the median average percent off of 500+ opening weekend predictions using abs(prediction - actual) / prediction. The actual opening weekend gross fell within the range 50% of the time. (1 pixel = approximately $35,420)

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