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LMI Home Box Office Predictions Reviews Upcoming Featured Box Office For Monday, Oct. 9: (1) Blade Runner 2049 $4.5M   (2) LEGO Ninjago $1.9M   (3) The Golden Circle $1.4M  
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Pain & Gain posterPain & Gain Opening Comparisons

Lee's Prediction: $24.086 million (3-day) 3277 theaters (marked as ).
Pain & Gain weekend gross: $20.245 million (marked as ).
Also opening on Apr 26, 2013: The Big Wedding
$15.523
Bad Boys
Four Brothers
$21.177
$25.724
Miami Vice
S.W.A.T.
$37.063
$46.523
Bad Boys II
The Big Hit
$10.809
Director and Actor Comparisons (3-day opening weekend, in million $)
Michael Bay (dir) Transformers V ($44.680), 13 Hours ($16.195), Transformers IV ($100.038)
Dwayne Johnson: Baywatch ($18.504), Fate of the Furious ($98.787), Central Intelligence ($35.535)
Mark Wahlberg: Transformers V ($44.680), Patriots Day ($0.161), Deepwater Horizon ($20.224)
Selected By Weekend By Gross By Theaters By Average
 Title Release First Weekend Theaters Adjusted* Adj. Avg.**
 Pain & Gain2013 Apr 26$20,245,0003277$20,245,000$6,178
 The Big Hit 1998 Apr 28 $10,809,424 2149 $18,737,871 $8,719
 The Island 2005 Jul 22 $12,409,070 3122 $15,738,805 $5,041
 Bad Boys 1995 Apr 7 $15,523,358 2132 $29,012,621 $13,608
 Four Brothers 2005 Aug 12 $21,176,925 2533 $26,859,345 $10,604
 Miami Vice 2006 Jul 28 $25,723,815 3021 $31,928,949 $10,569
 S.W.A.T. 2003 Aug 8 $37,062,535 3202 $49,969,885 $15,606
 Bad Boys II 2003 Jul 18 $46,523,000 3186 $62,725,040 $19,688
* adjusted for ticket prices (calculated in 2013 dollars) ** adjusted per theater gross ("crowdedness")
Other Box Office Open Comparisons
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About Box Office Comparisons
The box office line represents the potential extremes for 's opening weekend gross. The red notch is Lee's prediction. The red range around Lee's prediction represents the median average percent off of 500+ opening weekend predictions using abs(prediction - actual) / prediction. The actual opening weekend gross fell within the range 50% of the time. (1 pixel = approximately $71,427)

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