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LMI Home Box Office Predictions Reviews Upcoming Featured Box Office For Sunday, Oct. 22: (1) Boo 2! $5M   (2) Geostorm $3.8M   (3) Death Day $2.3M  
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Smokin' Aces posterSmokin' Aces Opening Comparisons

Lee's Prediction: $11.280 million (3-day) 2204 theaters (marked as ).
Smokin' Aces weekend gross: $14.639 million (marked as ).
Also opening on Jan 26, 2007: Catch and Release Epic Movie
$7.032
Lucky Number Slevin
Snatch
$8.005
$9.312
Pulp Fiction
The Big Hit
$10.809
$23.424
Once Upon...Mexico
Knockaround Guys
$5.017
Director and Actor Comparisons (3-day opening weekend, in million $)
Joe Carnahan (dir) The Grey ($19.665), The A-Team ($25.669), Narc ($0.063)
Ryan Reynolds: Hitman's Bodyguard ($21.385), Life (2017) ($12.502), Criminal (2016) ($5.767)
Jeremy Piven: Entourage ($10.283), Edge of Tomorrow ($28.760), The Pirates! ($11.138)
Selected By Weekend By Gross By Theaters By Average
 Title Release First Weekend Theaters Adjusted* Adj. Avg.**
 Smokin' Aces2007 Jan 26$14,638,7552218$14,638,755$6,600
 Very Bad Things 1998 Nov 25 $3,313,800 1260 $4,861,182 $3,858
 The Big Bounce 2004 Jan 30 $3,336,000 2304 $3,689,981 $1,602
 Big Trouble 2002 Apr 5 $3,545,204 1961 $4,205,345 $2,144
 Knockaround Guys 2002 Oct 11 $5,017,000 1806 $5,951,200 $3,295
 The Professional 1994 Nov 18 $5,306,558 1158 $8,948,313 $7,727
 Goodfellas 1990 Sep 19 $6,368,640 1070 $10,382,996 $9,704
 Get Carter 2000 Oct 6 $6,637,830 2315 $8,472,777 $3,660
 Lethal Weapon 1987 Mar 6 $6,829,949 1256 $12,017,915 $9,568
 Grosse Pointe Blank 1997 Apr 11 $6,870,397 1227 $10,298,111 $8,393
 Lucky Number Slevin 2006 Apr 7 $7,031,921 1984 $7,386,201 $3,723
 Die Hard 1988 Jul 15 $7,106,044 1276 $11,895,276 $9,322
 Snatch 2001 Jan 19 $8,005,163 1444 $9,747,880 $6,751
 Heat 1995 Dec 15 $8,445,656 1325 $13,357,727 $10,081
 Jackie Brown 1997 Dec 25 $9,292,248 1370 $13,928,250 $10,167
 Pulp Fiction 1994 Oct 14 $9,311,882 1338 $15,702,389 $11,736
 Wild Things 1998 Mar 20 $9,622,444 2177 $14,115,653 $6,484
 The Untouchables 1987 Jun 3 $10,023,094 1012 $17,636,544 $17,427
 The Big Hit 1998 Apr 28 $10,809,424 2149 $15,856,895 $7,379
 Out of Sight 1998 Jun 26 $12,020,000 2106 $17,632,751 $8,373
 Ronin 1998 Sep 25 $12,696,135 2487 $18,624,607 $7,489
 Identity 2003 Apr 25 $16,225,000 2733 $18,512,106 $6,774
 Swordfish 2001 Jun 8 $18,145,632 2678 $22,095,920 $8,251
 Exit Wounds 2001 Mar 14 $18,485,586 2830 $22,509,882 $7,954
 The Italian Job 2003 May 30 $19,457,944 2633 $22,200,772 $8,432
 Once Upon...Mexico 2003 Sep 12 $23,424,000 3282 $26,725,891 $8,143
 Be Cool 2005 Mar 4 $23,450,212 3216 $25,169,650 $7,826
 Collateral 2004 Aug 6 $24,701,458 3188 $27,322,513 $8,570
 Sin City 2005 Apr 1 $29,120,000 3230 $31,255,164 $9,677
 Ocean's 11 2001 Dec 5 $38,107,822 3075 $46,403,861 $15,091
 Ocean's 12 2004 Dec 10 $39,153,000 3290 $43,307,498 $13,163
* adjusted for ticket prices (calculated in 2007 dollars) ** adjusted per theater gross ("crowdedness")
Other Box Office Open Comparisons
CHIPS Inferno The Accountant Mechanic: Resurrection Suicide Squad Jason Bourne Bad Moms Mike and Dave... Central Intelligence Warcraft Ninja Turtles 2 Popstar The Nice Guys Neighbors 2 Search Party Civil War Mother's Day The Boss Batman v Superman The Brothers Grimsby

About Box Office Comparisons
The box office line represents the potential extremes for 's opening weekend gross. The red notch is Lee's prediction. The red range around Lee's prediction represents the median average percent off of 500+ opening weekend predictions using abs(prediction - actual) / prediction. The actual opening weekend gross fell within the range 50% of the time. (1 pixel = approximately $36,814)

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